Heavy Duty Trucking Logo
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

Economic Watch: Manufacturing Activity Contracts, Construction Booms

A closely watched gauge of activity within the nation’s manufacturing sector shows it not only declined for the fifth straight month, but also that activity contracted during November for the first time in three years, according to the nation’s supply executives.

Evan Lockridge
Evan LockridgeFormer Business Contributing Editor
December 1, 2015
Economic Watch: Manufacturing Activity Contracts, Construction Booms

 

4 min to read


A closely watched gauge of activity within the nation’s manufacturing sector shows it not only declined for the fifth straight month, but also that activity contracted during November for the first time in three years, according to the nation’s supply executives.

The Institute for Supply Management’s report shows its index of manufacturing activity fell below the 50% neutral threshold for the first time since November 2012, registering 48.6% following an October reading of 50.1%.

Ad Loading...

The New Orders Index registered 48.9%, a decrease of 4 percentage points from the reading of 52.9% in October, while the Production Index registered 49.2%, compared to the October reading of 52.9%.

On a more positive note, the Employment Index was 51.3%, 3.7 percentage points above the October reading of 47.6%, but the New Export Orders Index was unchanged from the month before.

In contrast to the recent downtrend in the ISM manufacturing index, hard data to date shows the sector has continued to grow moderately. The manufacturing component of industrial production was up up 1.9% year-over-year in October, according to Josh Nye, economist at RBC Economics.

Ad Loading...

“While that is down from rates above 3% around the turn of the year, it is certainly not as weak as recent near- and sub-50 readings from the ISM survey would indicate,” he said. “Nonetheless, headwinds such as a strong U.S. dollar and a slowdown in the energy sector highlighted by ISM respondents will likely continue to weigh on manufacturing, preventing any significant acceleration in growth.”

Ten out of 18 manufacturing industries reported contraction in November while just five reported growth.

A separate report on manufacturing activity released by the financial information services provider Markit showed the lowest reading in 25 months, but indicated the sector was still expanding, albeit at a slower rate in November than October.

Softer new business growth was the main factor weighing on its Purchasing Managers Index. Volumes of new work rose at the weakest pace for just over two years, which survey respondents attributed to reduced client confidence and weak export demand.

“The PMI results are indicative of the manufacturing sector growing at an annualized rate of around 2% in the fourth quarter so far,” said Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit.

Ad Loading...

These reports follow a preliminary one from last month showing new orders of durable goods in October, a subset of manufacturing, increased 3% following two monthly declines, according to the Commerce Department. October manufacturing measured by the Federal Reserve showed a 0.4% increase. A full report on October durables is due out Thursday while the Fed's November report on manufacturing and the rest of industrial production isn’t due out for about two more weeks.

Construction Keeps Jumping

New U.S. Commerce Department figures show total construction spending increased in October by an upwardly revised 1% amount from the month before.

The most recent level of more than a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.1 trillion is 13% higher than the amount from October 2014 and the highest since December 2007, while the year-to-date level has improved 10.7% above the same time last year.

October’s increase reflected a 0.8% increase in private spending due to gains in both residential and nonresidential spending while there was a 1.4% gain in nonresidential public spending.

Construction spending has increased every month this year and is expected to continue this trend through 2015, according to many economists. With manufacturing easing and consumers spending barely increasing in October from the month before, building is likely to be one of the brightest, if not the brightest spot, in the U.S. economy once the book is closed on 2015.

Ad Loading...

Canada Shows New Signs of Life

Meantime, to the north, there is better news when it comes to the United States’ largest trading partner.

Canada’s third quarter annualized gross domestic product growth rate returned to positive territory rising 2.3% following a 0.3% decline in the second quarter, according to figures released by the country’s government, marking the best pace in a year.

Earlier weakness largely reflected the impact of weakening oil prices and the sharp reduction in energy investment.

Slightly tempering the news was a separate report showing September Canadian GDP sank 0.5% in the month following three straight months of increases. However, almost all of the monthly decline could be attributed to a 5.1% drop in the mining component, with the overall decline expected to see a reversal when October numbers are issued.

More Fleet Management

Waabi-Volvo autonomous VNL truck.
Fleet Management•by News/Media Release•October 13, 2026

Volvo, Waabi Start Commercial Autonomous Operations in Texas

Volvo VNL Autonomous trucks, powered by the Waabi Driver, are hauling freight directly to third-party facilities for a customer in Texas.

Read More →
Illustration of silver robot waving his hand and a Samsara AI prompt on screen to call drivers
Fleet Management•by Staff•October 13, 2026

Samsara Launches Custom AI Agent Builder

Agent Studio lets fleets create AI tools for hours-of-service monitoring, reporting and driver support, including agents that communicate by phone.

Read More →
Overhead view of an Einride autonomous electric truck positioned between trailers at an EASE Logistics warehouse loading area in Marysville, Ohio.

Einride Driverless Electric Trucks Begin Daily Freight Operations in Ohio

Two cabless electric trucks are hauling freight between EASE Logistics facilities in Marysville, Ohio, as part of a multi-state truck automation project.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Illustration of map with GPS markers overlaid with Geotab fleet card and a fuel pump nozzle
Fuel Smarts•by Staff•October 2, 2026

Geotab Links Fleet Card to Vehicle Data

The new card combines fuel discounts with telematics-based purchase controls. Geotab’s analysis also points to potential savings from choosing lower-priced fuel stops.

Read More →
Cyberstop column illustration showing multi factor authorization
Fleet Management•September 29, 2026

How MFA Helps Protect Trucking Fleets

Multi-factor authentication adds protection when passwords are stolen. Here’s how it works and where fleets should start.

Read More →
Three generic semi-trucks break through a fractured wall against a dark blue digital background, symbolizing trucking technology overcoming data silos.
Fleet Management•September 28, 2026

How Better Freight Data Helps Trucking Teams Get Ahead of Disruption

Trucking and logistics teams have plenty of data. The problem is getting the right information in front of the right people soon enough to act. Better-connected data can help teams spot trouble earlier and make smarter decisions before small problems become big ones.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Photo of man in collared buttoned shirt speaking on stage in front of a backdrop that says Trimble
Fleet Management•by Deborah Lockridge•September 28, 2026

Trimble: Taking Artificial Intelligence in Trucking Beyond Faster Tasks

At Insight 2026, Trimble executives argued that fleets may need to redesign workflows to get more from AI as it introduced new products and enhancements. AI’s value will depend on how fleets combine automation with their people's knowledge.

Read More →
Geotab Whitepaper Data Tells the Story.  Why ELD Dash Cam belong together
Sponsored•September 28, 2026

Build a bulletproof fleet: Uniting ELDs and dash cams for total compliance

An ELD can prove compliance, but it cannot always prove what happened on the road. Discover how uniting accurate ELD data with AI-powered dash cam video can help your fleet strengthen compliance, defend against liability, protect drivers and reduce operational costs.

Read More →
Illustration showing ladders against a blue background with Heavy Duty Trucking Emerging Leaders logo and the words "2026 nominations now open"
Fleet Management•by Staff•September 21, 2026

Nominations Open for HDT Emerging Leaders

Heavy Duty Trucking is looking for accomplished trucking fleet professionals under 40 who are making an impact and helping lead the industry forward.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Illustration of Penske day cab backed into loading dock with graphic of generic charts and graphs and a penske logo.
Fleet Management•by Deborah Lockridge•September 17, 2026

Why Private Fleets Are Taking More Freight

Private fleets are putting their own trucks on demanding customers and high-cost lanes as companies seek greater control over service, costs, and capacity.

Read More →