ATA’s Spear Warns Fuel Prices, Trade Policy, and Global Conflict Could Stall Trucking Recovery
U.S. Diesel Prices Hit $5.40, Top $7 in California
Trucking operators are slowing speeds, cutting empty miles, and declining unprofitable freight as diesel costs continue to rise due to conflict in the Middle East.

Crude oil futures prices continue to be volatile, with mixed signals coming from the White House and other sources about the war in the Middle East.
HDT Graphic
The national average price of a gallon of diesel is now nearly $1.81 higher than it was a year ago, as of March 30 Department of Energy numbers, and has topped $7 per gallon in California.
The Energy Information Administration reported the average on-highway diesel fuel price, including all taxes, at $5.401 per gallon, up 2.6 cents from last week.
California’s average diesel price was $7.219 per gallon, which is up 35 cents from a week ago (the largest jump in the country) and is $2.44 per gallon more than a year ago.
The Lower Atlantic, Midwest, and Gulf Coast regions all saw prices dip slightly from last week, while all other regions saw increases.
How Diesel Prices are Affecting Trucking
According to Dean Croke, Industry Analyst, DAT Freight & Analytics, truckers are responding to fuel prices by cutting deadhead miles, looking for lighter loads, and slowing down.
At current diesel prices, slowing from 75 to 65 mph saves roughly 8 to 9 cents per mile in fuel — the equivalent of a significant per-mile pay raise without hauling a single extra load, he explained.
Carriers are also sitting on the sidelines or declining unprofitable loads.
The national average fuel surcharge for dry van freight rose from 44 cents to 60 cents per mile in the two weeks following the strikes on Iran, according to DAT data.

California’s average price for a gallon of diesel fuel was the highest in the country at $7.219 per gallon.
U.S. Energy Information Administration
The Iran War and Oil Prices
Crude oil futures prices continue to be volatile, with mixed signals coming from the White House and other sources about the war in the Middle East.
Before the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran in late February, 20% of the world’s oil and natural gas went through the Strait of Hormuz. Since the attacks, Iran has severely limited the number of ships that can get through as it tries to extract concessions from the U.S.
Crude oil futures on March 31 dropped slightly on signs of hope for the end of the war but were still over $100 per barrel. U.S. oil futures for West Texas Intermediate oil rose 51% in March and 77% during the first three months of 2026.
Even if the Strait of Hormuz were fully opened today, it will take time for petroleum facilities to come fully back online, leaving the world facing energy shortages that affect the U.S.
More Fuel Smarts

Paper Transport Puts RNG to Work for Shipper
Eight renewable natural gas trucks are hauling freight for Graphic Packaging, part of Paper Transport’s growing mix of alternative-fuel transportation options that also includes a Tesla Semi pilot.
Read More →
Fleet Costs Shape ACT Expo 2027 Agenda
With diesel prices high and operating expenses under pressure, ACT Expo's 2027 agenda emphasizes fuel efficiency, AI, safety and the return on fleet technology investments.
Read More →
How GP Transco Builds Fuel Savings a Fraction at a Time
Aerodynamic specs, solar panels, and driver incentives help GP Transco turn small efficiency gains into savings it can reinvest in its people.
Read More →
Trucking’s Diesel Squeeze Isn’t Letting Up
With diesel topping $6 a gallon nationally, ATA's Bob Costello explains why fleets should prepare for continued pressure at the pump.
Read More →
FlowBelow Redesigns Trailer AeroSlider to Cut Fuel Use
The lighter trailer aerodynamic system installs in less than 45 minutes, according to the company, with potential payback in under a year depending on fuel prices and trailer mileage.
Read More →
Why Diesel Price Relief Efforts May Fall Short
Diesel prices have eased from September’s record high, but doubts about additional Russian supply and limits on dyed-diesel tax relief mean trucking fleets still face expensive fuel. And prices could go higher.
Read More →Why Small Fuel Savings Matter in Trucking [Podcast]
Can better fuel economy help pay for driver raises? In this episode of the HDT Talks Trucking podcast, GP Transco explains how small efficiency gains create room to reinvest in its people.
Read More →How GP Transco Cuts Trucking Fuel Costs, a Tenth of a Gallon at a Time
What’s another tenth of a mile per gallon worth? GP Transco shares how equipment upgrades and driver coaching turn small gains into meaningful fuel savings.
Read More →
Electric Yard Tractors Move Beyond Pilots
Operating-cost savings have overtaken sustainability goals as the leading reason surveyed fleets are adopting battery-electric terminal tractors, according to new NACFE research.
Read More →
Geotab Links Fleet Card to Vehicle Data
The new card combines fuel discounts with telematics-based purchase controls. Geotab’s analysis also points to potential savings from choosing lower-priced fuel stops.
Read More →
