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Economic Watch: Unemployment Falls, Job Growth Best Since 1999

Unemployment in the U.S. continued declining in 2014, the best year for job growth since 1999, according to new Labor Department figures. However, wages fell and more people left the labor force.

Evan Lockridge
Evan LockridgeFormer Business Contributing Editor
January 9, 2015
Economic Watch: Unemployment Falls, Job Growth Best Since 1999

 

3 min to read


Unemployment in the U.S. continued declining in 2014, the best year for job growth since 1999, according to new Labor Department figures. However, wages fell and more people left the labor force.

Total nonfarm payrolls rose by 252,00 in December, pushing the unemployment rate down from 5.8% in November to 5.6% for last month. That's the lowest since June 2008. Employment increased in professional and business services, construction, food services and drinking places, health care, and manufacturing, according to the department.

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Earlier reported numbers by the government were revised upward. It now says 353,000 new jobs were created in November, up from 321,000, while October's gain increased to 261,000 from 243,000.

In trucking, 7,300 jobs were added in December, making a total of 42,100 trucking job additions since December 2013. The numbers exclude those with private fleets or truck driving jobs in other sectors, such as construction. The wider transportation and warehousing sector added just 3,100 jobs in December, mainly due to a decline in the number of air transportation jobs. More than 139,00 of these jobs have been added over the past 12 months.

Job growth last year averaged 246,000 per month, compared with an average monthly gain of 194,000 in 2013. The total number of jobs added in 2014 was just shy of 3 million.

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In December, the number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or longer) was essentially unchanged at 2.8 million and accounted for 31.9% of the unemployed.

The civilian labor force participation rate edged down by 0.2 of percentage point to 62.7% in December. Since April, the participation rate has remained within a narrow range of 62.7% to 62.9%.

In December, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls decreased by 5 cents to $24.57, following an increase of 6 cents in November. Over the year, average hourly earnings have risen by 1.7%, just slightly more than the annual inflation rate of 1.3% over the past 12 months through November, the most recent month data is available. Since 2010 annual wage growth has been in a narrow rage of between 1.7% and 2.2% despite big job gains.

Sterne Agee Chief Economist Lindsey Piegza said while the latest numbers are clearly impressive, two things are clear. “Employment trends clearly lost momentum at the end of the year, with several categories falling to multi-month lows, and top-line job creation remains insufficient to spark wage pressures which continue to decline.”

She pointed out that minutes from the most recent Federal Reserve minutes show Open Market Committee members noted concerns over a lack of "clear evidence of a broad-based acceleration in wages."

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“This morning's disappointing, outright decline in wage pressures only exacerbates these concerns,” Piegza said. “While some members noted a willingness to raise [interest] rates with inflation at current levels, such a scenario was conditional on expectations that inflation would reverse course back towards the Fed's 2% target. This morning's outright decline in wage pressures undermines confidence in a near-term reversal, taking a rate hike off the table at least until inflation has stabilized and committee members once again regain confidence that inflation is or will soon be on the rise.”

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