Prices at the wholesale level dipped in July, fueling speculation the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates again to help prop up the slow-moving economy.
On Thursday the U.S. Labor Department reported the Producer Price Index fell 0.2% in July, following a 0.1% increase in June. Excluding the volatile food and energy sectors, the PPI core rate fell 0.3% in July after rising 0.2% in June, the biggest drop since October.
Renewed discounting of car and light truck prices, off 1.5% from June, was
the major month-to-month change, said Newport Communications Senior Economist Jim Haughey.
“This is also a caution sign,” he said. “Detroit brings back the discounts only when sales are weak. Also steel prices jumped a further 0.9%, pushing heavy truck prices up by the same amount.”
Haughey said freight rates slipped after a sharp pickup in June, while truckload rates fell 0.1% after rising 0.5%. Less-than-truckload rates dropped 1.2% giving up two-thirds s of June's large gain.
“This probably reflects shipper resistance to prices rises requested by carriers," Haughey says. "It is a tough environment to get a price increase when manufacturers are watching costs closely because their own prices have dropped 0.6% over the last year."
Because there is near-zero inflation and higher bond rates, the real cost of business credit is very high. Haughey advises to watch for the Federal Reserve to make another .25% cut in interest when they meet next week.
Wholesale Prices Down Slightly In July
Prices at the wholesale level dipped in July, fueling speculation the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates again to help prop up the slow-moving economy
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