Heavy Duty Trucking Logo
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

ATA Forecast: Trucking Will See Gains Through 2023

After a significant dip during the recession and a mild economic recovery, the U.S. freight economy, particularly for trucking, is projected to grow significantly in the years ahead, according to American Trucking Associations' U.S. Freight Transportation Forecast to 2023

by Staff
July 9, 2012
ATA Forecast: Trucking Will See Gains Through 2023

 

2 min to read


After a significant dip during the recession and a mild economic recovery, the U.S. freight economy, particularly for trucking, is projected to grow significantly in the years ahead, according to American Trucking Associations' U.S. Freight Transportation Forecast to 2023.



The forecast, a product of collaboration between ATA, IHS Global Insight and Martin Labbe Associates, lays out the current state of the freight economy -- where trucking is the leading mode of transportation -- and projects an even more robust role for trucks in the future.

"The trucking industry continues to dominate the freight transportation industry in terms of both tonnage and revenue, comprising 67% of tonnage and 81% of revenue in 2011," ATA Chief Economist Bob Costello wrote in this year's forecast.

Overall, total freight tonnage is expected to grow by 21% by 2023, and revenue for the freight transportation industry is projected to rise 59% in that same timeframe. Trucking's share of the tonnage market will rise over two percentage points to 69.6% by 2023, while the industry's share of freight revenues will increase to 81.7% from 80.9%.

In other surface modes, rail's overall share of tonnage will fall to 15% in 2023 from 15.7% in the baseline year of 2011. However, intermodal tonnage will rise 6.2% a year between 2012 and 2017, and then 5.4% annually through 2023.

Domestic waterborne tonnage will show very modest growth between now and 2023 - growing 1% annually through 2023. Domestic airfreight tonnage is slated to grow over 4% annually during the forecast period.

For more information: www.atabusinesssolutions.com

More Fleet Management

Jamie Hagen owner, Hell Bent Xpress.
Fleet Managementby Jack RobertsMay 29, 2026

Jamie Hagen Gets Real About Running a Small Fleet in an Uncertain Economy

Small fleet owner Jamie Hagen says new legal risks, volatile fuel prices, and a changing freight market are forcing small carriers to rethink how they operate -- and what they can afford.

Read More →
Jamie Hagen owner, Hell Bent Xpress.
Fleet ManagementMay 28, 2026

Jamie Hagen Gets Real About Freight, Fuel Prices, Safety, and Small-Fleet Survival

Running a small trucking fleet right now isn’t easy, especially right now. And Jamie Hagen doesn’t sugarcoat it.

Read More →
Jamie Hagen, Hellbent Xpress.
Fleet Managementby Jack RobertsMay 28, 2026

Jamie Hagen Gets Real About Freight, Fuel Prices, Safety, and Small-Fleet Survival

Running a small trucking fleet right now isn’t easy, especially right now. And Jamie Hagen doesn’t sugarcoat it.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Illustration of a padlock attached to heavy chains over a digital binary background with the words “Data Lock In?” in large bold text.
Fleet ManagementMay 28, 2026

Data Lock‑In or Integration Lock‑Out?

Data fragmentation is costing dealerships, OEMs, fleets, and upfitters millions. Here’s why interoperability may be the fix the trucking industry needs.

Read More →
Greg Feary, president and managing partner of transportation law firm Scopelitis, Garvin, Light, Hanson & Feary.
Fleet ManagementMay 27, 2026

What Trucking Fleets and Brokers Need to Know About This Supreme Court Case

In May, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that freight brokers can be held liable for damages if a truck they have contracted with is involved in an accident. Listen as this transportation attorney breaks down the ruling and its implications for the trucking industry.

Read More →
Illustration of hacker and information network
Fleet Managementby Ben WilkensMay 22, 2026

The Trucking Industry’s Threat Intelligence Gap

The trucking industry has no shortage of cybersecurity reports and cargo crime statistics. What it lacks is timely, operational intelligence that fleets can actually use.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Illustration of rising costs with truck in background

Truck Crash Rates Are Down. So Why Do Insurance Costs Keep Rising?

ATRI’s latest research points to litigation, social inflation, and soaring claims costs as key drivers behind record-high liability premiums for trucking fleets. But there are things motor carriers can do.

Read More →
ATA Truck Tonnage April 2026

ATA Truck Tonnage Holds Steady in April at Highest Levels Since 2022

ATA’s For-Hire Truck Tonnage Index was unchanged in April after a strong March gain, with freight volumes remaining at their highest levels since late 2022.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Greg Feary, president and managing partner of transportation law firm Scopelitis, Garvin, Light, Hanson & Feary.
Fleet Managementby Jack RobertsMay 20, 2026

Behind the SCOTUS Broker Ruling Part 1

Transportation attorney Greg Feary breaks down the recent Supreme Court decision that brokers can be held liable for damages in truck accidents and what it means for the trucking industry going forward.

Read More →