Updated Crash Risk Prediction Report Includes Age, Gender
ATRI has released an update to its Crash Predictor Model, which among other things finds that women truck drivers are less likely to be involved in a crash than male drivers.

ATRI has updated its Crash Predictor Model to include info on driver gender and age.
Screenshot via ATRI
The American Transportation Research Institute has released an update to its Crash Predictor Model, which statistically quantifies the likelihood of future crash involvement based on truck driving behaviors.
The most recent update now includes analyses on the impact of age and gender on crash probability. ATRI has also added in information on industry average crash costs across six distinct crash types and severity.
In the latest report, ATRI found that women truck drivers tended to be safer than male counterparts in every statistically significant safety behavior. Overall men were found to be 20% more likely to be involved in a crash then women. Part of ATRI’s age data showed that generally drivers older than 40 and younger than 85 were less likely to be involved in a crash, though there wasn’t a strong correlation between age and events that typically had the largest impact on future crash risk.
The two riskiest behaviors, meaning behaviors that most strongly increased the likelihood of a future incident, were having a previous reckless driving violation and having a previous failure to yield right of way violation. Prior crash involvement was also a major indicator, with a 74% increase in the likelihood of being in a future crash.
ATRI’s analysis draws on data form over 435,000 truck drivers collected over a two-year timeframe, uncovering nearly a dozen behaviors that raise a driver’s risk of being involved in a future truck crash by more than 50%. These include prior crashes, violations, and convictions.
A copy of the full report with a breakdown of all of the data is available from ATRI at TruckingResearch.org
Related: FMCSA Clarifies How to Request a Non-Preventable Crash Data Review
More Drivers

Netradyne Intelligence Uses New AI Agents to Automate Response to In-Cab Camera Data
The company called the next-generation in-cab camera safety platform "a fundamental shift from systems that report on what happened to systems that actively drive what should happen next."
Read More →
Why Truck Detention Keeps Costing Fleets Time and Money
A 2024 ATRI study found detention affects nearly 40% of truckload stops and costs the industry more than $15 billion annually. Despite the toll on drivers, fleets, and supply chains, the problem remains stubbornly persistent.
Read More →
Prime Inc. to Open $7.9M Flagship Used-Truck Dealership
A new driver-focused facility to sell Prime Inc's used trucks and trailers will be the first purpose-built location in the company's history.
Read More →Short Takes: Inside K&B’s Truck Safety Tech
Listen to learn how K&B Transportation uses cellphone-blocking technology, speed management systems, weather geofencing, bridge avoidance tools, and more to improve driver safety.
Read More →
Nussbaum Expands Driver Compensation with Pay Raises, Profit Sharing
Nussbaum Transportation said its latest compensation package could push first-year driver earnings above $90,000 in key hiring markets.
Read More →Listen: Inside Modern Fleet Safety: AI, Cameras & Speed Control at K&B Transportation
Fleet safety is evolving fast—and technology is at the center of it. Learn how a former commercial vehicle enforcement officer turned director of safety at K&B Transportation is embracing real-world safety technology.
Read More →
Maverick Announces 2026 Driver Pay Raises
New raises for Maverick Transportation drivers will take effect on May 31, 2026.
Read More →
Illinois Trucker Indicted for Nearly $22,000 in Ohio Turnpike Toll Evasion
Authorities say an Illinois trucker avoided paying tolls for two years, and now faces felony charges, possible prison time, and forfeiture of his Freightliner tractor.
Read More →
New Trojan Driver Cargo Theft Scam Bypasses Carrier Vetting Systems
Cargo theft rings plant operatives as drivers inside legitimate, fully vetted carriers, then execute coordinated thefts that look like a traditional straight theft from the outside.
Read More →
WIM, Trucker Path Name Top 3 Women-Friendly Truck Stops
ATA’s Women In Motion Council and Trucker Path highlight three truck stops that meet all seven safety-focused criteria and rank highest among female drivers.
Read More →
