Pandemic Drop in Fuel Demand Triggers Historic Low Oil Futures
Tight Oil Market Pushes Diesel Prices Higher
The increase in crude oil prices – and therefore diesel prices – is led by recovering demand and suppressed supply, the roll-out of the COVID-19 vaccine, and falling inventories, analysts say.

On Feb. 8, diesel prices increased to $2.80 per gallon, the highest level since March 16, 2020.
Data: Energy Information Administration
Shrinking crude stockpiles and a tighter market driven by the efforts of oil producers to restrain production have driven diesel prices to the highest levels since early last year.
On Feb. 8, diesel prices increased to $2.80 per gallon, the highest level since March 16, 2020. The price of diesel has trended upward since November 2020, according to data from the Energy Information Administration.
The increase in oil prices is led by recovering demand and suppressed supply, the roll-out of the COVID-19 vaccine, and falling inventories, speculates Forbes Senior Contributor Michael Lynch. Lynch is also a distinguished fellow at the Energy Policy Research Foundation and president of Strategic Energy and Economic Research.
Despite the increase, oil prices and consumption remain below pre-pandemic levels.
Brent crude is approaching $60 a barrel, a rise of more than 50% since the end of October 2020. And West Texas Intermediate, the benchmark price for crude oil in the U.S., last week rose above $55 for the first time in over a year.
Current oil prices are above the futures price, implying that the market has tightened, Forbes’ Lynch explained.
Some analysts from the Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg reported that the market has tightened as a result of the efforts of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies last week to restrain production. Oil producers that agreed to the cuts have held back 2.1 billion barrels of oil, OPEC told WSJ last week.
“Crude prices have been rising higher now that OPEC+ has convinced the energy market that they are determined in accelerating market re-balancing without delay,” Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda, told Reuters.
American producers are pumping 17% less crude than they did on the eve of the pandemic, the EIA told the WSJ.
Stockpiles of oil accumulated early last year have been tapped into and used faster than expected, which could pave the way for price increases if demand picks up in developed economies, WSJ’s Wallace said.
More Fuel Smarts

How Volvo Updated Its D13 for EPA 2027 [Watch]
Volvo’s updated D13 promises lower emissions without sacrificing performance or fuel economy. Take a closer look at what changed inside the engine in this HDT Spotlight video.
Read More →
Diesel Price Spike Shortens Payback for Natural Gas Trucks, Report Says
Energy Vision estimates fleets could recover the higher purchase price of an RNG-fueled Class 8 tractor in 1.3 to 2.8 years under current fuel-price scenarios.
Read More →
Calstart Becomes Catalyst Mobility, Reflecting Broader Focus
Calstart is now Catalyst Mobility, reflecting the nonprofit’s growing national role in clean transportation, including zero-emission trucks, infrastructure and incentive programs.
Read More →
Record Diesel Prices Squeeze Trucking Fleets
Average U.S. diesel prices have climbed to nearly $6 a gallon, surpassing the 2022 record as tight refinery capacity and Middle East disruptions keep fuel costs elevated.
Read More →
How Fuel Delivery Shapes Engine Performance
Fuel delivery depends on more than what happens at the injector. For fleet, maintenance and technical professionals, looking at the full path from pump to injector can provide useful context for understanding engine performance.
Read More →
East Coast Port Launches $45M Electric Truck Push
The Port Authority of New York and New Jersey announced millions in incentives for zero-emission drayage trucks, yard tractors, and new charging hubs near the port.
Read More →
California Bill Could Shed Light on Electric Truck Prices
Why do battery-electric Class 8 trucks remain so expensive? A California bill headed to Gov. Gavin Newsom would give fleets and state agencies more visibility into what manufacturers charge.
Read More →
Detroit Opens Orders for EPA 2027 Engines
Detroit isn’t starting from scratch to meet EPA 2027 diesel emissions standards. Its Gen 6 DD13 and DD15 engines keep much of today’s platform while updating the fuel and aftertreatment systems.
Read More →
Zero-Emission Truck Corridor Planned for West Coast
California, Oregon, Washington, British Columbia and Baja California are coordinating plans for truck charging and hydrogen fueling from Canada to Mexico.
Read More →A Closer Look at Kenworth’s Electric T880E Vocational Truck [Video]
Learn more about Kenworth's T880E battery-electric vocational truck at the Paccar Technical Center, including its range, applications, upfitting considerations, and PTO options, in this HDT Spotlight video.
Read More →

