A new study underscores earlier evidence that the greatest risk of an accident occurs in the first hour of driving, and that the risk in the second through 11th hour is relatively flat.
The study by Richard Hanowski, director of the Center for Truck and Bus Safety at the Virginia Tech Transportation Institute, found is that the risk of a critical driving incident is significantly higher in the first hour of driving than in all other driving hours - and that there is no statistical difference in risk between the 2nd through 11th hours.
This underscores the 1st-hour spike found by the Large Truck Crash Causation Study, which reported that the 1st hour had the highest raw percentage (14.7 percent) of crashes, Hanowski said.
Overall, however, the data on this issue is mixed. A 2005 study, for example, found that risk increases as driving hours accumulate, Hanowski noted.
Hanowski said his analysis, which was completed in January and is now in peer review, is based on the largest on-road naturalistic study ever conducted. It includes 2.3 million miles of driving data and 190,000 hours of sleep data from wrist actigraphs worn by the drivers in the study.
Watch for more in the print edition of Heavy Duty Trucking.
New Study Finds 1st Hour of Driving Riskiest
A new study underscores earlier evidence that the greatest risk of an accident occurs in the first hour of driving, and that the risk in the second through 11th hour is relatively flat
More Safety & Compliance

Avoiding Winter Pileups: Don’t Become the Next Link in the Crash-Chain
Winter roadway “pileups” aren’t one crash — they’re a chain reaction. Here’s what triggers them, how truck drivers can spot the danger early, and what to do if you're suddenly trapped in the mess.
Read More →
FMCSA’s Motus System Is Coming. What Fleets Need to Know Now
The long-awaited registration system promises a single portal — and tighter fraud controls.
Read More →
Nominations Open for HDT Truck Fleet Innovators 2026
Heavy Duty Trucking is searching for forward-looking leaders at trucking fleets as nominations for HDT’s Truck Fleet Innovators 2026. Deadline is May 15.
Read More →
Freightliner Expands Detroit Assurance with New Intersection and Turning Safety Tech
Detroit’s next-generation ABA6 safety system adds cross-traffic detection and enhanced side guard assist with left-turn protection, targeting high-risk urban scenarios.
Read More →
'Beyond Compliance,' Regulations, Driver Coaching on ATRI’s 2026 Research List
The American Transportation Research Institute will examine driver coaching, regulatory impacts — including the "Beyond Compliance" concept —and weather disruptions that shape trucking operations.
Read More →
FMCSA Revamps DataQs to Improve Fairness, Speed of Reviews
New requirements add firm deadlines and independent review steps, addressing long-standing complaints about inconsistent rulings and slow response times.
Read More →
FMCSA Extends Paper Medical Card Exemption … Again
Five states still aren't ready to accept commercial driver medical exam information directly from the medical examiner's registry.
Read More →
HDT Honors the Best New Products of 2025 at TMC [Photos]
Heavy Duty Trucking's Top 20 Products awards recognize the best new products and technologies. Check out the award presentations at the 2026 Technology & Maintenance Council annual meeting.
Read More →
Detroit Engines: Trusted Performance, Built for What's Next
The Detroit® Gen 6 engine platform proves that real progress doesn’t require a complete redesign. Built on 20 years of trusted technology, these engines are designed for efficiency, stronger performance, and greater reliability than before. And they do it all while complying with 2027 EPA standards on every mile.
Read More →
Aperia Expands Halo Platform with Steer-Tire Inflation System, Fifth-Wheel Integration
Aperia Technologies introduced a new automatic tire inflation system for steer axles and a partnership with Fontaine Fifth Wheel to integrate coupling status into its Halo Connect platform.
Read More →
