The growth in the amount of freight moved by truck is expected to slow, while currently California is producing the most loads and the best outbound-to-inbound load volume.
Heavy Duty Trucking's freight volume index has been rising at an annual rate of 4.25% through the summer quarter, and Newport Communications economist Jim Haughey predicts it will keep about the same pace through the rest of the year. Although that's down from a 6.8% annual rate of growth in the first six months of the year, he says the news is no need for concern.
"The economy is probably growing a little closer to 3.5%, so freight volume is doing a little better than the economy, and that's been true for more than a year," he says.
Haughey expects shipments of consumer durable goods, such as furniture and home electronics as well as automobiles and business investment equipment, to remain the hot commodities moved by truck the rest of this year and into 2000. In the farm market, volume is up this year but prices are way down, and this could force some farmers to hold off shipping livestock until late this year or early next year.
Currently, states with the most outbound loads are Illinois, Ohio, Texas, California and Pennsylvania, according to Michael Grant with DAT Services, which provides load-posting services.
If you look at the ratio of outbound loads to inbound loads - which affect your ability to get a load out of a given area after you've delivered - Grant says, "Flatbeds are hottest in the Southeast, with Arkansas, Alabama, Louisiana and Mississippi running exceptionally good ratios. Tennessee and North Carolina were the only Southeast states that rated poorly."
For vans and reefers, Grant says, the outbound-to-inbound ratio is best in the West, although they have lower overall load-posting volumes. The Southwest is running the lowest overall ratio, including Texas, Oklahoma, Arizona and New Mexico. "California looks good with volumes and ratios for vans and reefers, but the posted available inbound flatbed loads outnumber outbound by about 10%, so I'd watch out" if considering taking a flatbed load to California, Grant says.
Freight Movement Growth Slowing
The growth in the amount of freight moved by truck is expected to slow, while currently California is producing the most loads and the best outbound-to-inbound load volume
More Fleet Management

FMCSA’s Motus System Is Coming. What Fleets Need to Know Now
The long-awaited registration system promises a single portal — and tighter fraud controls.
Read More →
Cargo Theft Incidents Fall in Q1, but Organized Crime and Impersonation Drive New Risks
CargoNet reports fewer supply chain crime events to start 2026. But losses hold steady as organized crime shifts tactics toward impersonation schemes and high-value goods.
Read More →
Nominations Open for HDT Truck Fleet Innovators 2026
Heavy Duty Trucking is searching for forward-looking leaders at trucking fleets as nominations for HDT’s Truck Fleet Innovators 2026. Deadline is May 15.
Read More →
New Trojan Driver Cargo Theft Scam Bypasses Carrier Vetting Systems
Cargo theft rings plant operatives as drivers inside legitimate, fully vetted carriers, then execute coordinated thefts that look like a traditional straight theft from the outside.
Read More →
March Truck Tonnage Posts Strongest Annual Gain Since 2022
A modest sequential increase capped the strongest quarterly performance in years, signaling continued freight momentum in early 2026.
Read More →
Ohio Turnpike Targets $5.2 Million in Unpaid Tolls from Trucking Firms
More than 300 carriers across 26 states have been sent to collections as the Ohio Turnpike cracks down on toll evasion and delinquent payments.
Read More →
'Beyond Compliance,' Regulations, Driver Coaching on ATRI’s 2026 Research List
The American Transportation Research Institute will examine driver coaching, regulatory impacts — including the "Beyond Compliance" concept —and weather disruptions that shape trucking operations.
Read More →
Fleet Advantage's Brian Antonellis on the Growing Need to Replace Old Trucks
Fleet Advantage's Brian Antonellis says it's time for fleets to get back to the fundamentals of good maintenance practices. And that includes replacing older, inefficient equipment.
Read More →
Truckstop.com Adding to Open Deck, Heavy Haul Offerings
Load matching for flatbed, lowbed, oversize and overweight loads can't be automated like basic van freight, but Truckstop.com is adding more high-tech tools to help.
Read More →
Trucker Path, Truckstop.com Expand Load Access Partnership
An expanded Trucker Path and Truckstop.com integration brings more freight opportunities into the TruckLoads app while emphasizing security and network quality.
Read More →
