Freight Movement Growth Slowing
The growth in the amount of freight moved by truck is expected to slow, while currently California is producing the most loads and the best outbound-to-inbound load volume
The growth in the amount of freight moved by truck is expected to slow, while currently California is producing the most loads and the best outbound-to-inbound load volume.
Heavy Duty Trucking's freight volume index has been rising at an annual rate of 4.25% through the summer quarter, and Newport Communications economist Jim Haughey predicts it will keep about the same pace through the rest of the year. Although that's down from a 6.8% annual rate of growth in the first six months of the year, he says the news is no need for concern.
"The economy is probably growing a little closer to 3.5%, so freight volume is doing a little better than the economy, and that's been true for more than a year," he says.
Haughey expects shipments of consumer durable goods, such as furniture and home electronics as well as automobiles and business investment equipment, to remain the hot commodities moved by truck the rest of this year and into 2000. In the farm market, volume is up this year but prices are way down, and this could force some farmers to hold off shipping livestock until late this year or early next year.
Currently, states with the most outbound loads are Illinois, Ohio, Texas, California and Pennsylvania, according to Michael Grant with DAT Services, which provides load-posting services.
If you look at the ratio of outbound loads to inbound loads - which affect your ability to get a load out of a given area after you've delivered - Grant says, "Flatbeds are hottest in the Southeast, with Arkansas, Alabama, Louisiana and Mississippi running exceptionally good ratios. Tennessee and North Carolina were the only Southeast states that rated poorly."
For vans and reefers, Grant says, the outbound-to-inbound ratio is best in the West, although they have lower overall load-posting volumes. The Southwest is running the lowest overall ratio, including Texas, Oklahoma, Arizona and New Mexico. "California looks good with volumes and ratios for vans and reefers, but the posted available inbound flatbed loads outnumber outbound by about 10%, so I'd watch out" if considering taking a flatbed load to California, Grant says.
More Fleet Management

Enhance Fleet Performance with High-Efficiency Auxiliary Power Units
Drive sustainable cost savings while increasing driver comfort during short- and long-haul logistics operations.
Read More →
Is Your Parts Procurement Process Reactive or Proactive?
Ready to revamp your parts procurement process? Learn how now with “Strategic Parts Purchasing: A Process Checklist”
Read More →
What Trucking Events are Happening in 2026?
Looking for trucking-related conventions, expos, and other events? Heavy Duty Trucking has developed this list of national and larger regional trucking shows and events.
Read More →
Truckload Rates Keep Rising as Tight Capacity Fuels Freight Market Recovery
Spot and contract rates continued climbing in May and June, not because freight demand is surging, but because fewer trucks and drivers are available.
Read More →
What Geotab's New AI Connector Means for Fleets
Fleets can now ask their usual AI assistants questions about maintenance, safety, fuel use, and vehicle performance, using their live Geotab data, and take action on the answers without leaving their preferred AI tool.
Read More →
New C.H. Robinson Tool Opens Door to More Predictable Freight
BidBoardX lets carriers search, bid on, and secure committed freight opportunities through a single digital marketplace.
Read More →
New York City's Microhub Project is Delivering Results
Trucking, last-mile delivery companies, and environmental advocates like what they are seeing so far with New York's microhub program.
Read More →
Why Truck Detention Keeps Costing Fleets Time and Money
A 2024 ATRI study found detention affects nearly 40% of truckload stops and costs the industry more than $15 billion annually. Despite the toll on drivers, fleets, and supply chains, the problem remains stubbornly persistent.
Read More →
Time is Running Out to Apply for Exclusive HDT Event
Heavy Duty Trucking Exchange brings fleet managers and suppliers together for the deeper conversations that lead to ideas, partnerships, and solutions. Time is running out to apply for the September event.
Read More →
Amazon Launches Less-Than-Truckload Freight Offering for All Businesses
This launch is the latest addition to Amazon Supply Chain Services, a portfolio of supply chain capabilities from Amazon, including freight, distribution, fulfillment, and parcel shipping.
Read More →

