Heavy Duty Trucking Logo
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

Economic Watch: Manufacturing Shrinks Again; Construction Remains Strong

Activity in the nation’s manufacturing sector has contracted for the second month in a row, and at the fastest rate in six years. Meanwhile, construction spending unexpectedly fell, but remains a bright spot compared to a year ago.

Evan Lockridge
Evan LockridgeFormer Business Contributing Editor
January 4, 2016
Economic Watch: Manufacturing Shrinks Again; Construction Remains Strong

 

3 min to read


Activity in the nation’s manufacturing sector has contracted for the second month in a row, and at the fastest rate in six years. Meanwhile, construction spending unexpectedly fell, but remains a bright spot compared to a year ago.

The monthly manufacturing survey index of the nation’s purchasing executives by the Institute for Supply Management shows a 0.4 of a percentage point decline in December from the month before. The 48.2% reading is the lowest reading since June 2009.

Ad Loading...

A reading above 50% indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding, while below 50% shows it is generally contracting.

ISM’s New Orders Index registered 49.2% in December, an increase of 0.3 of a percentage point when compared to the November reading. That indicates a contraction in new orders for the second consecutive month, though not as much as the previous month’s pace.

Only seven of 18 industries reported growth in new orders last month.

Ad Loading...

The measure of manufacturing production increased 0.6 of a percentage point in December from November, but showed it was still contracting.

The bulk of the overall pullback was due to the measure of manufacturing employment falling by 3.2 percentage points.

“While unexpected acceleration in the pace of decline was disappointing, an uptick, albeit modest, in each of the new orders and production components was encouraging and hinted at potentially brighter prospects on the horizon for the struggling manufacturing sector,” said Laura Cooper, economist at RBC Economics.

“Lingering external headwinds are likely to limit the manufacturing rebound in the near term; however, we expect ongoing strength in the domestic economy to keep overall fourth-quarter 2015 gross domestic product (GDP) growth close to the 2.0% rate recorded in the third quarter of 2015.”

Such a performance in manufacturing during December could delay future interest rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve, after its Federal Open Market Committee pushed them slightly higher last month for the first time in many years, according to Stifel Fixed Income Chief Economist Lindsey Piegza.

Ad Loading...

“Let's just say this is not the story line monetary policymakers were hoping for as we embark now on a rising rate environment,” she said. “Going forward, the domestic economy desperately needs to stir some underlying momentum to meet and withstand the committee’s intended path of rising rates. After all, the Fed based liftoff – and will continue to base subsequent rate hikes – on expectations rather than current conditions, which leaves the potential for a significant disconnect between what the U.S. economy can withstand and what the Fed intends to deliver.”

Construction Spending

Meantime, a separate report from the U.S. Commerce Department shows total construction spending in the country during November fell 0.4%, the biggest downturn in activity since June 2014.

Additionally, October's construction spending was revised downward from the previous 1.0% reported growth to a smaller 0.3% monthly gain, and from a 0.6% gain in September to just a 0.2% improvement in September. However, year-over-year, construction spending increased 10.5% in November.

A 0.8% decline in non-residential construction spending in November accounted for the headline deterioration, while residential spending advanced 0.2% to match the pace recorded in the previous month.

Ad Loading...

According to Reuters, the government revised construction data from January 2005 through October 2015 because of a "processing error in the tabulation of data," which showed activity was not as strong as originally reported for last year. It reported this could lead some economists to lower their fourth-quarter gross domestic product estimates.

More Fleet Management

CargoNet 2026 Qi report.
Fleet Managementby News/Media ReleaseApril 24, 2026

Cargo Theft Incidents Fall in Q1, but Organized Crime and Impersonation Drive New Risks

CargoNet reports fewer supply chain crime events to start 2026. But losses hold steady as organized crime shifts tactics toward impersonation schemes and high-value goods.

Read More →
Graphic with light bulbs, HDT Truck Fleet Innovators logo, and the word Nominations
Fleet ManagementApril 24, 2026

Nominations Open for HDT Truck Fleet Innovators 2026

Heavy Duty Trucking is searching for forward-looking leaders at trucking fleets as nominations for HDT’s Truck Fleet Innovators 2026. Deadline is May 15.

Read More →
Illustration with trojan horse and lock with inside of cargo container in background
Fleet Managementby News/Media ReleaseApril 23, 2026

New Trojan Driver Cargo Theft Scam Bypasses Carrier Vetting Systems

Cargo theft rings plant operatives as drivers inside legitimate, fully vetted carriers, then execute coordinated thefts that look like a traditional straight theft from the outside.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
ATA Truck Tonnage Index March 2026.
Fleet Managementby News/Media ReleaseApril 22, 2026

March Truck Tonnage Posts Strongest Annual Gain Since 2022

A modest sequential increase capped the strongest quarterly performance in years, signaling continued freight momentum in early 2026.

Read More →
Toll road.
Fleet Managementby Jack RobertsApril 22, 2026

Ohio Turnpike Targets $5.2 Million in Unpaid Tolls from Trucking Firms

More than 300 carriers across 26 states have been sent to collections as the Ohio Turnpike cracks down on toll evasion and delinquent payments.

Read More →
Illustration with ATRI logo and square blocks spelling out "research"
Fleet Managementby Deborah LockridgeApril 20, 2026

'Beyond Compliance,' Regulations, Driver Coaching on ATRI’s 2026 Research List

The American Transportation Research Institute will examine driver coaching, regulatory impacts — including the "Beyond Compliance" concept —and weather disruptions that shape trucking operations.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Brian Antonellis, senior vice president, fleet operations, Fleet Advantage.
Fleet Managementby Jack RobertsApril 17, 2026

Fleet Advantage's Brian Antonellis on the Growing Need to Replace Old Trucks

Fleet Advantage's Brian Antonellis says it's time for fleets to get back to the fundamentals of good maintenance practices. And that includes replacing older, inefficient equipment.

Read More →
Illustration of computer and mobile screens with load matching software superimposed over photo of an oversize load
Fleet Managementby News/Media ReleaseApril 17, 2026

Truckstop.com Adding to Open Deck, Heavy Haul Offerings

Load matching for flatbed, lowbed, oversize and overweight loads can't be automated like basic van freight, but Truckstop.com is adding more high-tech tools to help.

Read More →
Trucker Path, Truckstop.com partnership expands.
Fleet Managementby News/Media ReleaseApril 14, 2026

Trucker Path, Truckstop.com Expand Load Access Partnership

An expanded Trucker Path and Truckstop.com integration brings more freight opportunities into the TruckLoads app while emphasizing security and network quality.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
DAT TVI March 2026.
Fleet Managementby News/Media ReleaseApril 14, 2026

Truckload Rates Hit Two-Year Highs as Diesel Costs Surge, DAT Says

Strong March freight demand combined with a spike in fuel costs pushed both spot and contract truckload rates to their highest levels in more than two years.

Read More →