Heavy Duty Trucking Logo
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

Economic Watch: Manufacturing and Leading Index Up, Consumer Prices Tame

UPDATED -- U.S. manufacturing has hit is highest level in nearly four years, according to a report released Thursday

Evan Lockridge
Evan LockridgeFormer Business Contributing Editor
February 20, 2014
3 min to read


UPDATED -- U.S. manufacturing has hit is highest level in nearly four years, according to a report released Thursday

Figures from the financial information services provider Markit suggest a solid rebound in U.S. manufacturing business conditions following the slowdown recorded during the previous month. This was highlighted by a rise in the Markit Flash U.S. Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index, which increased from 53.7 in January to 56.7 in February.

Ad Loading...

“The flash manufacturing PMI provides the first indications that production has rebounded from the weather-related slowdown seen in January,” said Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit. “Having slumped to a three-month low in January the PMI surged to its highest for almost four years in February, as companies reported business returning to normal after freezing temperatures and snow disrupted operations and supply chains.

The upturn was driven by sharp and accelerated increases in both production levels and incoming new work during February. New business volumes increased at the sharpest rate since May 2010, suggesting resilient underlying demand across the U.S. manufacturing sector. Higher levels of new work in February partly reflected a return to export sales growth following a slight reduction during the previous month.

Meantime, a measure of inflation shows it increased 0.1% in January following a 0.2% gain in December, the largest since July. When volatile food and energy prices are stripped out the increase was still 0.1% last month

Ad Loading...

The Labor Department reports the Consumer Price Index is up 1.6% compared to the same time a year ago, below the Federal Reserve’s target of less than 2% annually.

Despite the slower pace, energy prices picked up steam in January, especially with electricity, posting its largest gain since March 2010.

The CPI has come under attack lately because some claim it does not accurately measure the increasing cost of living.

Government figures show prices are up a little more than 6% since 2011, according to a recent story from CBS News but the cost of some foods have posted significant double digit hikes during the same time. This, coupled with median income increasing only 1% annually, along with economists and policy makers traditionally looking only at the CPI to gauge inflation, shows a disconnect between statistics and the real world, according to one analyst that was interviewed.

Finally, a third report from private research group The Conference Board shows its Leading Economic Index for the U.S. increased 0.3% in January to 99.5 following no change in December, and a 0.9 percent gain in November. The index is used to forecast the economy three to six-months in the future.

Ad Loading...

“The U.S. Leading Economic Index continues to fluctuate on a monthly basis, but the six-month average growth rate has been relatively stable in recent months, which suggests that the economy will remain resilient in the first half of 2014 and underlying economic conditions should continue to improve,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, economist at The Conference Board.

The increase also reflects an economy that is expanding moderately, although the pace is somewhat held back by persistent and severe inclement weather in most parts of the country, said Economist Ken Goldstein. “If the economy is going to move on to a faster track in 2014 compared to last year, consumer demand and especially investment will need to pick up significantly from their current trends.”

Update adds Leading Economic Index.

More Fleet Management

Red Kodiak-branded autonomous tractor with Charger-branded trailer backed up to warehouse
Fleet Management•October 30, 2026

Kodiak Lines Up Fleets for Driverless Trucking

An agreement for 75 trucks, a new Texas freight lane, and progress on safety validation move Kodiak closer to its planned driverless highway launch.

Read More →
Illustration with Star of David and EEOC logo
Fleet Management•by News/Media Release•October 28, 2026

ITS Logistics Settles Religious Harassment Case

The Nevada-based logistics firm agreed to pay more than $396,000 to settle a religious harassment charge involving an employee's Jewish identity.

Read More →
Truck on divided interstate highway driving toward sunrise
Fleet Management•October 27, 2026

Your Trucks Are Busy. That Doesn’t Mean They’re Winning.

High utilization doesn’t always mean strong margins. Looking beyond the current load can help fleets make better dispatch decisions and get more value from each truck’s time.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
ATA economist Bob Costello speaking beside a graph showing truckload operating costs rising as freight revenue per mile declined after 2022.
Fleet Management•by Deborah Lockridge•October 22, 2026

Why This Trucking Recovery Is Different

Freight demand remains sluggish, but rising costs and tougher enforcement have taken enough capacity out of the market to change the outlook for motor carriers.

Read More →
PS Coach tablet interface showing a driver’s coaching inbox, safety event video and coaching advice for a harsh-braking event.
Fleet Management•by News/Media Release•October 21, 2026

Platform Science Adds Dispatch and Safety Tools

Four additions to PS Fleet help fleets monitor loads, manage driver coaching, share truck locations and adjust video system settings.

Read More →
Screen capture showing PrePass Intelligence data on tolls
Fleet Management•by News/Media Release•October 21, 2026

PrePass Intelligence Mines Fleet Bypass, Toll and Safety Data

PrePass Intelligence helps fleets measure bypass savings, flag potential toll overcharges, and spot suspicious transactions by combining data from separate systems.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Computer screen showing examples of what fleets could ask Motive AI Agents to do
Fleet Management•by Staff•October 20, 2026

Motive Adds AI Agents for Fleet Operations

New tools automate follow-up on fleet data, from maintenance work orders to driver alerts, with two-way voice conversations planned for later this year.

Read More →
Graphic art with a heavy-duty tractor trailer and a work truck with the words "trivia lunch"
Fleet Management•by Lauren Fletcher•October 19, 2026

Can You Beat Our Trucking Trivia Challenge?

Test your truck knowledge with 19 trivia questions from Heavy Duty Trucking Exchange. Can you keep up with the fleet pros?

Read More →
Four horizontal and two vertical video screens show different aspects of BeyondTruck's new compatibility engine
Fleet Management•by Deborah Lockridge•October 19, 2026

BeyondTrucks Adds Rules Checks to Dispatch

New Compatibility Engine checks driver qualifications, equipment requirements and fleet policies before loads are dispatched.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Gloved hand fueling a truck beside a graphic listing ATRI’s top three trucking concerns for 2026: fuel prices, lawsuit abuse reform and CSA.
Fleet Management•by Deborah Lockridge•October 19, 2026

Diesel Prices Hijack Trucking’s Worry List

ATRI’s annual survey finds cautious optimism about freight, but diesel costs, litigation, and insurance continue to squeeze fleets. Drivers have different priorities on several issues.

Read More →