Heavy Duty Trucking Logo
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

Economic Watch: Homebuilding Best in Years

The U.S. housing market continues to improve, with new home starts hitting their highest level in seven years and builder optimism the best in nearly a decade.

Evan Lockridge
Evan LockridgeFormer Business Contributing Editor
August 18, 2015
Economic Watch: Homebuilding Best in Years

 

3 min to read


The U.S. housing market continues to improve, with new home starts hitting their highest level in seven years and builder optimism the best in nearly a decade.

While this is good news for flatbed and other trucking operations that haul everything from building supplies to appliances to household goods, it also is leading to increasing speculation as to whether the Federal Reserve will soon hike interest rates.

Ad Loading...

A new U.S. Commerce Department report shows groundbreaking for new homes last month increased 0.2% from June’s revised level to an annual rate of 1.21 million, sharply higher than the previously reported 1.17 million-unit pace.

Not only is the July figure 10.2% higher than the same time a year ago, this is the best level since October 2007, and the fourth straight month home starts have been above the 1 million per year mark.

Single-family home starts, the lion’s share of the marketplace, increased 12.8% in July from June’s revised figure, hitting its best pace since December 2007. Multifamily home starts fell 17% in July from the month before.

Ad Loading...

Meantime, figures for the number of new building permits issued, an indicator of future construction activity, were mixed. They dropped 16.3% in July from June but were 7.5% higher than July 2014. The month-to-month drop follows three consecutive months of impressive gains. 

The biggest month-to-month drop happened in the Northeast, which fell more than 60%.

Despite the mixed number for building permits, homebuilders are still expecting good times ahead. Confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes in August rose one point to a level of 61, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index

This is the highest reading since November 2005.

“The fact the builder confidence has been in the low 60s for three straight months shows that single-family housing is making slow but steady progress,” said NAHB Chairman Tom Woods. “However, we continue to hear that builders face difficulties accessing land and labor.”

Ad Loading...

The index measuring buyer traffic rose two points to 45, and the component gauging current sales conditions rose one point to 66. The index charting sales expectations in the next six months held steady at 70.

“Today’s report is consistent with our forecast for a gradual strengthening of the single-family housing sector in 2015,” said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. “Job and economic gains should keep the market moving forward at a modest pace throughout the rest of the year.”

The big question on many minds is, what do these latest numbers mean when it comes to the Federal Reserve and its talk of increasing interest rates this year? The July Federal Open Market Committee meeting offers some insight.

“If in fact the Fed was gearing up to raise rates next month, July would have offered the perfect opportunity for officials to indicate an increased assessment of the economy, as well as growing confidence in further momentum for economic activity near-term,” said Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel Fixed Income. “Of course, as we know, the Fed maintained their ‘moderate’ assessment of the economy in July, a lateral move from June's characterization. We will be combing through the minutes [to be released Wednesday] looking for any indication of a shift in sentiment or growing concerns regarding domestic or international underperformance.”

More Fleet Management

Illustration of a chalkboard with a hand drawing an arrow curving away from a partially erased straight arrow with the words "Embracing Change," the Heavy Duty Trucking Logo and the "cover feature" graphic.
Fleet Managementby Deborah LockridgeAugust 1, 2026

How Innovative Trucking Leaders Turn Change Into an Advantage

As the pace of change accelerates in trucking, the fleets that adapt best have more than the latest technology. They have cultures that embrace improvement.

Read More →
Illustration of past due invoices with red X on top with background of a truck at a loading dock
Fleet ManagementJuly 27, 2026

Freight Broker Bonds Just Got Harder to Get. Here's What That Means for Your Fleet.

When it gets harder for a freight broker to prove they are financially sound, the ones who cannot clear that bar get pushed out of the market. And those are exactly the brokers who used to leave motor carriers holding the bag.

Read More →
Photo of cable bridge crossing Detroit River
Fleet Managementby Deborah LockridgeJuly 23, 2026

Long-Awaited Canadian Border Bridge to Open in Detroit

For trucking, the bridge opening should offer immediate improvements in efficiency and reliability, with new customs facilities, expanded inspection capacity, and direct freeway-to-freeway connections.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Blue International heavy-duty truck with Aurora driverless truck software coming head-on on an interstate highway
Equipmentby Deborah LockridgeJuly 22, 2026

Aurora Rolls Out Next Generation of Driverless Trucks for Commercial Freight

Aurora's latest autonomous trucks it's rolling out with International feature lower-cost hardware designed for a million miles as the company expands commercial driverless freight operations across the U.S. Sun Belt.

Read More →
American Trucking Associations for-hire tonnage graph
Fleet Managementby Deborah LockridgeJuly 21, 2026

Freight Tonnage Down, Rates up, as Lower Capacity Powers Trucking Recovery

The recovery from the freight recession continues to be driven by reduction in capacity rather than by increased demand.

Read More →
Cyberstop column header depicting images of ChatGPT prompt on a smartphone and shadowy hooded figure
Fleet Managementby Ben WilkensJuly 17, 2026

Think Your Trucking Fleet Isn't Using Much AI? Think Again

Shadow AI — the use of unauthorized artificial intelligence tools at work — is becoming increasingly common, putting sensitive company data at risk. Learn how trucking fleets can protect sensitive data while embracing AI.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Photo of semi trucks with Panther, ArcBest, and ABF trailers backed up to docks, with ArcBest logo superimposed on top
Fleet Managementby Deborah LockridgeJuly 17, 2026

ArcBest Consolidates Brands, Cuts Workforce

The company will bring three business units under the ArcBest brand, eliminate about 2% of positions, and expects the changes to generate $40 million in annual savings.

Read More →
Cover of ATRI operational costs study with graph clip art and photo of trucks on highway in the background
Fleet Managementby Deborah LockridgeJuly 15, 2026

Trucking Fleets Faced Record Operating Costs During Third Year of Freight Recession

ATRI's annual operational cost report shows carriers trimmed fleets, delayed equipment purchases, and ran older trucks as expenses continued to outpace freight rates.

Read More →
Micheline AI Assistant.

Michelin Adds AI Assistant to MyConnectedFleet Platform

Michelin’s new generative AI tool delivers instant fleet insights, helping managers analyze fuel use, tire maintenance, vehicle status, and operational performance without manually creating reports.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
LytxOne Platform.

LytxOne Platform Now Features AI, Compliance, and Asset Tracking Tools

New enhancements add AI-powered insights, asset tracking, compliance automation, and configurable privacy controls to Lytx's all-in-one fleet management platform.

Read More →