Heavy Duty Trucking Logo
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

Economic Watch: Consumer Prices Rise, Inflation Within Fed Target

Retail prices inched up again in May, while a closely watched measure of inflation by the U.S. Federal Reserve remains slightly above a level that sets the stage for an interest rate hike later this year.

Evan Lockridge
Evan LockridgeFormer Business Contributing Editor
June 16, 2016
Economic Watch: Consumer Prices Rise, Inflation Within Fed Target

 

3 min to read


Retail prices inched up again in May, while a closely watched measure of inflation by the U.S. Federal Reserve remains slightly above a level that sets the stage for an interest rate hike later this year.

A Labor Department report released June 16 shows the Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% from the month before, less than a consensus estimate from analysts. That's up 1% year-over-year.

Ad Loading...

Energy prices rose 1.2%, reflecting a 2.3% rise in gasoline prices, according to RBC Economics. Food prices provided some offset to the monthly gain in energy prices, slipping 0.2% lower on a month-over-month basis from April.

So-called “core prices,” which omit volatile food and energy prices, advanced 0.2% in May from a month earlier, matching expectations, and are up 2.2% from a year ago following a 2.1% gain in April.

Falling energy prices, on a year-over-year basis, continue to weigh on annual CPI growth. However, absent another significant pull-back in oil prices, that drag will begin to ease more significantly toward the end of this year, according to Nathan Janzen, senior economist at RBC, who also noted food price growth has been weak.

Ad Loading...

“Outside of those factors, core price inflation has remained relatively solid, with the May year-over-year rate marking a seventh consecutive month of core inflation growth at or above the Fed’s 2% inflation objective,” he said.

Despite the core CPI being above the Fed’s inflation target, this so far has still been not enough for another hike in interest rates.

On Wednesday the central bank announced it was leaving interest rates unchanged. Fed Chair Janet Yellen reiterated the lingering “uncertainties” surrounding the outlook for the U.S. economy and the somewhat “unexpected” weakness in recent data, including  employment numbers that showed a weak number of job additions in May. She also cited a vote next week by Britain on whether or not to exit the European Union, nicknamed the “Brexit.”

Going forward, however, don’t be surprised if the Fed talks up another hike in interest rates, according to Stifel Fixed Income Chief Economist Lindsey Piegza.

“Should we bypass a Brexit and U.S. [economic] data rebounds markedly, get ready for another round of hawkish rhetoric. But would the market have faith in a renewed pledge by the Fed’s Open Market Committee to hike rates sooner than later?” she asks.

Ad Loading...

According to Piegza, if we learned anything from “the April to June bait and switch” (when committee members moved from leaning heavily toward a summer interest rate hike to backing off in less than three months), “it is that policymakers' comments have a limited shelf life and in no way represent a commitment to act on said comments at the next FOMC meeting.

“In other words, imagine the Fed as a small boy in overalls. He hears a rustle in the woods but before waiting for confirmation he yells ‘wolf!’ at the top of his lungs with his finger on the trigger. Later, he realizes the commotion was caused by a stray llama, not quite what he expected,” Piegza said. "Meaning, the Fed can only yell ‘strong economy’ so many times without taking action before the market stops listening entirely.”

More Fleet Management

Red Kodiak-branded autonomous tractor with Charger-branded trailer backed up to warehouse
Fleet Management•October 30, 2026

Kodiak Lines Up Fleets for Driverless Trucking

An agreement for 75 trucks, a new Texas freight lane, and progress on safety validation move Kodiak closer to its planned driverless highway launch.

Read More →
Illustration with Star of David and EEOC logo
Fleet Management•by News/Media Release•October 28, 2026

ITS Logistics Settles Religious Harassment Case

The Nevada-based logistics firm agreed to pay more than $396,000 to settle a religious harassment charge involving an employee's Jewish identity.

Read More →
Truck on divided interstate highway driving toward sunrise
Fleet Management•October 27, 2026

Your Trucks Are Busy. That Doesn’t Mean They’re Winning.

High utilization doesn’t always mean strong margins. Looking beyond the current load can help fleets make better dispatch decisions and get more value from each truck’s time.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
ATA economist Bob Costello speaking beside a graph showing truckload operating costs rising as freight revenue per mile declined after 2022.
Fleet Management•by Deborah Lockridge•October 22, 2026

Why This Trucking Recovery Is Different

Freight demand remains sluggish, but rising costs and tougher enforcement have taken enough capacity out of the market to change the outlook for motor carriers.

Read More →
PS Coach tablet interface showing a driver’s coaching inbox, safety event video and coaching advice for a harsh-braking event.
Fleet Management•by News/Media Release•October 21, 2026

Platform Science Adds Dispatch and Safety Tools

Four additions to PS Fleet help fleets monitor loads, manage driver coaching, share truck locations and adjust video system settings.

Read More →
Screen capture showing PrePass Intelligence data on tolls
Fleet Management•by News/Media Release•October 21, 2026

PrePass Intelligence Mines Fleet Bypass, Toll and Safety Data

PrePass Intelligence helps fleets measure bypass savings, flag potential toll overcharges, and spot suspicious transactions by combining data from separate systems.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Computer screen showing examples of what fleets could ask Motive AI Agents to do
Fleet Management•by Staff•October 20, 2026

Motive Adds AI Agents for Fleet Operations

New tools automate follow-up on fleet data, from maintenance work orders to driver alerts, with two-way voice conversations planned for later this year.

Read More →
Graphic art with a heavy-duty tractor trailer and a work truck with the words "trivia lunch"
Fleet Management•by Lauren Fletcher•October 19, 2026

Can You Beat Our Trucking Trivia Challenge?

Test your truck knowledge with 19 trivia questions from Heavy Duty Trucking Exchange. Can you keep up with the fleet pros?

Read More →
Four horizontal and two vertical video screens show different aspects of BeyondTruck's new compatibility engine
Fleet Management•by Deborah Lockridge•October 19, 2026

BeyondTrucks Adds Rules Checks to Dispatch

New Compatibility Engine checks driver qualifications, equipment requirements and fleet policies before loads are dispatched.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Gloved hand fueling a truck beside a graphic listing ATRI’s top three trucking concerns for 2026: fuel prices, lawsuit abuse reform and CSA.
Fleet Management•by Deborah Lockridge•October 19, 2026

Diesel Prices Hijack Trucking’s Worry List

ATRI’s annual survey finds cautious optimism about freight, but diesel costs, litigation, and insurance continue to squeeze fleets. Drivers have different priorities on several issues.

Read More →