Heavy Duty Trucking Logo
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

Economic Watch: Consumer Confidence Falls, Service Sector Rebounds Strongly

Consumer confidence fell this month from a more than seven-year high last month, according to a new report from the private research group The Conference Board.

Evan Lockridge
Evan LockridgeFormer Business Contributing Editor
Read Evan's Posts
February 24, 2015
Economic Watch: Consumer Confidence Falls, Service Sector Rebounds Strongly

Photo: Revisorweb via Wikimedia Commons

4 min to read


Photo: Revisorweb via Wikimedia Commons

Consumer confidence fell this month from a more than seven-year high last month, according to a new report from the private research group The Conference Board.

Its Consumer Confidence Index now stands at 96.4, down from 103.8 in January. The Present Situation Index decreased to 110.2 from 113.9, while the Expectations Index declined to 87.2 from 97 in January.

Ad Loading...

Lynn Franco, director of economic indicators at The Conference Board said despite the decline the index still remains at pre-recession levels. “While the number of consumers expecting conditions to deteriorate was virtually unchanged, fewer consumers expect conditions to improve, prompting a less upbeat outlook. Despite this month’s decline, consumers remain confident that the economy will continue to expand at the current pace in the months ahead.”

Consumers’ appraisal of current conditions was moderately less favorable in February than in January. Those saying business conditions are “good” decreased from 28.2% to 26%, however those claiming business conditions are “bad” decreased from 17.3% to 17%.

Consumers were also somewhat less positive in their assessment of the job market, with the proportion stating jobs are “plentiful” decreasing slightly from 20.7% to 20.5%, and those claiming jobs are “hard to get” increasing from 24.6% to 26.2%.

Consumers’ optimism about the short-term outlook was considerably less positive in February. Those expecting business conditions to improve over the next six months decreased from 18.9% to 16.1%, while those expecting business conditions to worsen increased from 8.2% to 8.7%.

Consumers’ outlook for the labor market was also less optimistic. Those anticipating more jobs in the months ahead decreased from 17.3% to 13.4%. However, those anticipating fewer jobs declined from 14.8% to 14.3%. The proportion of consumers expecting growth in their incomes declined from 19.5% to 15.1%. The proportion expecting a decrease rose from 10.8% to 12%.

Ad Loading...

Non-Manufacturing Activity Increases

Meantime, a separate, preliminary report, also released Tuesday morning, shows business activity in the U.S. service sector this month rebounded from January and hit its best pace since October.

The financial information services provider Markit and its Flash U.S. Services Purchasing Managers’ Index increased to 57 in February from 54.2 in January. This latest reading was also broadly in line with the average seen during 2014 as a whole at 57.1.

A reading above 50 indicates expending economic activity within the sector.

Higher levels of service sector business activity were driven by a strong rebound in new work in February, according to the report. Growth of new business picked up from January’s survey-record low and was the sharpest for four months. Reports from survey respondents suggested that improving underlying economic conditions had boosted client demand in February.

Ad Loading...

According to Markit, while some firms noted disruptions as a result of adverse weather conditions in the Northeast, there were also reports from companies based on the West Coast that unusually mild weather had supported new business gains during the latest survey period.

“Stronger growth of service sector activity in February puts a June Federal Reserve [interest] rate rise firmly back on the table,” said Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit. “While parts of the East coast have struggled in the face of adverse weather, other regions basked in unusually warm temperatures, boosting business above seasonal norms. Activity levels surged higher and inflows of new business boomed as a result.”

He said when this report is put alongside the upturn shown in Markit’s Flash Manufacturing PMI survey for this month, issued last week, the improved performance of the service sector in February means the economy looks to be enjoying yet another spell of robust growth in the first quarter.

“The two PMI surveys are so far running at a level consistent with at least 3% annualized GDP growth,” Williamson said. “While the overall rate of business expansion has cooled from the surging pace seen in the middle of last year, growth remains buoyant and, importantly, strong enough to drive yet another month of impressive job creation.”

He said the Federal Reserve will no doubt be encouraged by the resilience of the economy in the face of global headwinds such as the Greek and Russian crises, and increasingly minded to start the process of normalizing monetary policy in June on the basis of these “impressive survey results.”


More Fleet Management

2026 Mack Anthem rolls off the assembly line
Fleet Managementby News/Media ReleaseFebruary 3, 2026

Mack Financial Services Launches Physical Damage Insurance For All Makes

Mack Financial Services has introduced the Rolling Asset Program, offering physical damage insurance for all makes and models within a customer's fleet.

Read More →
Illustration of phishing email with trucks in background
Fleet Managementby News/Media ReleaseFebruary 3, 2026

New Phishing Scheme Targets Motor Carriers, FMCSA Warns

Beware of a new phishing scheme targeting motor carriers. Scammers are sending emails posing as FMCSA or DOT officials to steal data.

Read More →
Daimler-Class8 partnership.
Fleet Managementby News/Media ReleaseFebruary 2, 2026

DTNA Partners with Class8 to Expand Digital Services for Freightliner Owner-Operators

A new partnership brings free wireless ELD service plus load optimization and dispatch planning tools to fourth- and fifth-generation Freightliner Cascadia customers, with broader model availability planned through 2026.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
SponsoredFebruary 1, 2026

Reducing Fleet Downtime with Advanced Diagnostics

This white paper examines how advanced commercial vehicle diagnostics can significantly reduce fleet downtime as heavy duty vehicles become more complex. It shows how Autel’s CV diagnostic tools enable in-house troubleshooting, preventive maintenance, and faster repairs, helping fleets cut emissions-related downtime, reduce dealer dependence, and improve overall vehicle uptime and operating costs.

Read More →
SponsoredFebruary 1, 2026

Stop Watching Footage, Start Driving Results

6 intelligent dashcam tactics to improve safety and boost ROI

Read More →
M&A illustration with Werner and FirstFleet logos
Fleet Managementby Deborah LockridgeJanuary 29, 2026

Werner Expands Dedicated Fleet Nearly 50% With FirstFleet Acquisition

The $283 million acquisition of FirstFleet makes Werner the fifth-largest dedicated carrier and pushes more than half of its revenue into contract freight.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Bobit Business Media B2X Rewards.
Fleet Managementby News/Media ReleaseJanuary 29, 2026

Bobit Business Media Launches B2X Rewards Engagement Program

B2X Rewards is a new, gamified rewards program aimed at driving deeper engagement across BBM’s digital platforms, newsletters, events, and TheFleetSource.com.

Read More →
Trucking Trends series graphic
Fleet Managementby Deborah LockridgeJanuary 29, 2026

AI is Reshaping Trucking in 2026, from the Back Office to the Shop

Trucking’s biggest technology shifts in 2026 have one thing in common: artificial intelligence.

Read More →
Column graphic illustration with Deborah Lockridge head shot and a small fleet truck in the background
Fleet Managementby Deborah LockridgeJanuary 27, 2026

Why Small Trucking Fleets Are Still Standing [Commentary]

Why discipline, relationships, and focus have mattered more than size for smaller trucking fleets during the freight recession.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Fleet Managementby Deborah LockridgeJanuary 23, 2026

Cargo Theft Is Surging. A Bill in Congress Could Help. [Video]

Cargo theft losses hit $725 million last year. In this HDT Talks Trucking Short Take video, Scott Cornell explains how a bill moving in Congress could bring federal tracking, enforcement, and prosecutions to help address the problem.

Read More →