Heavy Duty Trucking Logo
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

Crude Oil Prices Affect U.S. Production

Crude oil prices are moving higher amid concerns that low prices have led to too many crude production cuts.

Evan Lockridge
Evan LockridgeFormer Business Contributing Editor
September 21, 2015
Crude Oil Prices Affect U.S. Production

An oil well in North Dakota. Photo: ConocoPhillips

2 min to read


An oil well in North Dakota. Photo: ConocoPhillips

Crude oil prices are moving higher amid concerns that low prices have led to too many crude production cuts.

The lower prices this year will eventually lead to lower production in the U.S. A Friday report showed the number of rigs in service for drilling in the country fell for the third straight week last week.

Ad Loading...

According to the Wall Street Journal, government figures show U.S. oil production has fallen from 9.6 million barrels per day in April to 9.1 million last month and is expected to hit 8.6 million by mid-next year. This is raising concerns about oil, and consequently fuel prices, later this year and well into 2016.

Crude prices in New York as well as overseas were up more than 3% and nearly 2%, respectively, around mid-day on Monday. However, the New York price follows a Friday drop of more than 4.7%, indicating the crude market remains extremely volatile.

But there is another estimate that has some worried.

Ad Loading...

The OPEC oil cartel is forecasting U.S. crude production could drop next year by a whopping 27%. That, along with oil production cutbacks overseas, could push the price of oil back up $80 by 2020, taking diesel and gasoline prices along with it.

While trying to figure out when oil and fuel prices will return to higher levels is impossible, it may be safe to say that those who have been enjoying the big price declines the past year, may find such days are numbered.

The one wild card remains the U.S. Federal Reserve, after deciding not to hike interest rates last week, there is now speculation if they will move before the year is out. No matter if its in 2015 or next year, some analyst warn that such a move could slow down the econonmy and that could lead to less demand for fuel and oil. That could throw expectation of higher prices both straight out the window.

More Fuel Smarts

Four men in suits on the National Mall with giant video screen showing capitol building in the background
Equipmentby Deborah LockridgeJuly 10, 2026

EPA Proposal Could Ease 2027 Truck Costs and Buying Uncertainty

The proposal doesn't change the tougher NOx standard, but it would revise key implementation requirements that manufacturers say have driven up costs and complicated fleet purchasing decisions.

Read More →
Illustration showing Paccar MX engine with sketch illustration of DEF fill tank in background
Equipmentby Deborah LockridgeJuly 7, 2026

Cummins, Paccar Ease DEF Derates After EPA Guidance

Updated diesel engine software gives truck operators more time to address emissions-system issues while staying compliant with EPA emissions standards.

Read More →
Illustration with wrenches in background with "Maintenance in the Messy Middle: Biodiesel" text and NACFE Run on Less logo
Maintenanceby Jack RobertsJuly 2, 2026

Maintenance in the Messy Middle Part 3: Biodiesel

Biodiesel can reduce emissions, improve fuel-system lubricity and use existing diesel infrastructure. But NACFE’s Messy Middle maintenance report says fleets must actively manage storage, cold-weather operation, filters and oil drain intervals to avoid problems.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
thermo king heavy duty trucking
SponsoredJuly 1, 2026

Enhance Fleet Performance with High-Efficiency Auxiliary Power Units

Drive sustainable cost savings while increasing driver comfort during short- and long-haul logistics operations.

Read More →
Illustration with wrenches in background with "Maintenance in the Messy Middle: Renewable Diesel" text and NACFE Run on Less logo
Maintenanceby Jack RobertsJune 29, 2026

Maintenance in the ‘Messy Middle’ Part 2: Renewable Diesel Fuel

NACFE's latest Messy Middle Powertrain Service & Maintenance report says renewable diesel gives fleets an opportunity to reduce carbon emissions without changing trucks, fueling infrastructure or maintenance practices. But technicians still need to understand several important operational differences.

Read More →
Illustration messy middle maintenance diesel with wrenches in background
Maintenanceby Jack RobertsJune 26, 2026

The Diesel Engine Enters NACFE’s ‘Messy Middle’

NACFE’s new Messy Middle Powertrain Service & Maintenance report says keeping modern diesel engines running now depends as much on software, diagnostics and data as traditional mechanical service.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Illustration showing DEF tank and Detroit engine
Equipmentby Deborah LockridgeJune 18, 2026

DTNA Software Update Gives Truckers More Time Before DEF Derates Take Effect

The changes reflect EPA guidance aimed at reducing downtime caused by emissions-system faults while maintaining compliance requirements.

Read More →
Illustration of exhaust aftertreatment system on an AI-inspired blue background and a green fuel pump nozzle in the foreground.
Maintenanceby Deborah LockridgeJune 15, 2026

New Agentic Predictive Maintenance Report Demonstrates How Degraded Aftertreatment Systems Waste Fuel

Questar analyzed a large mixed-class fleet and discovered it was wasting as much as $30 in fuel per vehicle, per day, because of mechanically degraded aftertreatment systems.

Read More →
Amazon electric cargo bike on New York City street
Fleet ManagementJune 15, 2026

New York City's Microhub Project is Delivering Results

Trucking, last-mile delivery companies, and environmental advocates like what they are seeing so far with New York's microhub program.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Red Kenworth truck pulling Paper Transport trailer
Fuel Smartsby Deborah LockridgeJune 2, 2026

Lessons Learned About Alternative Fuels: Start Small, Stay Flexible

Practical advice on adopting alternative fuels and ZEVs from HDT's 2026 Top Green Fleets, from renewable diesel and natural gas to electric trucks.

Read More →