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Organized Crime Fuels Cargo Theft Surge

Cargo theft numbers have spiked 13% year-over-year in Q2 2025 as organized crime groups target high-value commodities.

CargoNet numbers Q2 2025.

Metals theft experienced the most dramatic increase, nearly doubling with a 96 percent year-over-year surge to 53 incidents, according to CargoNet.

Graphic: CargoNet

2 min to read


CargoNet recorded 884 supply chain theft events across the United States and Canada in the second quarter of 2025.

The company said this represents a 13% increase compared to the same period in 2024 and a 10 percent increase from the first quarter of 2025. 

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The estimated total loss value exceeded $128 million when applying average loss values to incidents where specific values were not reported. 

Strategic Criminal Focus

The data reveals an acceleration in theft activity throughout the quarter, with incidents increasing 14.6 percent in April, 4.4 percent in May, and a substantial 21.9 percent surge in June. 

Metals theft experienced the most dramatic increase, nearly doubling with a 96 percent year-over-year surge to 53 incidents, CargoNet reported.

This unprecedented growth coincides with copper trading near or above record highs, suggesting that organized crime groups strategically adjust their targeting based on commodity market values. 

Food and beverage products also saw substantial growth, with 180 reported incidents representing a 68 percent increase from Q2 2024. 

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This category now accounts for over 20 percent of all cargo thefts, with alcoholic beverages, energy drinks, and meat products being primary targets. 

“The strategic targeting of specific commodities reveals the business-like approach of modern cargo theft operations," said Keith Lewis, vice president of operations for Verisk CargoNet, "These aren't opportunistic crimes – they're calculated operations targeting goods with the highest illicit-market value and easiest resale potential." 

The average stolen shipment value of $203,586 represents a significant economic impact on the supply chain, with ripple effects including increased insurance costs, delivery delays, replacement orders, and ultimately higher consumer prices. 

Sophisticated Fraud Schemes on the Rise 

Looking ahead to the remainder of 2025, CargoNet analysts warn that complex cargo theft schemes involving document fraud and identity theft are becoming increasingly prevalent. These sophisticated operations, often perpetrated by international organized crime groups, are evolving rapidly to circumvent industry anti-fraud efforts. 

"Traditional physical security measures alone are no longer sufficient," noted Lewis. "The industry must adopt a multi-layered approach combining physical security, digital verification, and real-time intelligence sharing to combat these evolving threats."

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