Heavy Duty Trucking Logo
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

Truckload Rates Improve, Intermodal Continues to Weaken

Truckload linehaul rates turned in their best month-over-month improvement of last year during December, while intermodal rates continued falling from year-ago levels, according to just-released figures.

Evan Lockridge
Evan LockridgeFormer Business Contributing Editor
January 15, 2016
Truckload Rates Improve, Intermodal Continues to Weaken

 

2 min to read


Truckload linehaul rates turned in their best month-over-month improvement of last year during December, while intermodal rates continued falling from year-ago levels, according to just-released figures.

Ad Loading...

The Cass Truckload Linehaul Index increased 2.1% last month from November to 127.8, but showed only a 1.1% year-over-year gain. The index grew 1.6% and 1.9% year over year in November and October, respectively.

Ad Loading...

With softening demand and more available capacity, 2016 forecasted price increases remain between 1% and 3%, according to analysts with the investment banking firm Avondale Partners, which provides analysis of the report.

That analysis also pointed to the negative imbalance between truckload spot and contract pricing. With the spot market tending to lead contract pricing directionally, and with the spot market seeing the type of drops not seen since 2009, “current spot market weaknesses have lasted long enough to begin to be troubling,” Avondale said.

The index is an indicator of market fluctuations in per-mile truckload pricing that isolates the linehaul component of full truckload costs from other components, such as fuel and accessorials, providing reflection of trends in baseline truckload prices.

Meantime, the Cass Intermodal Price Index dropped another 3.8% year-over-year in December to 127.2, following declines of 2.4% in November and 3.2% in October.

This caps 12 consecutive months of year-over-year declines. Since the index inception in 2004, this drop is second only to the 13 months from December 2008 through December 2009 -- although this most recent cumulative decline is considerably less than that experienced throughout ’09.

Ad Loading...

Although analysts at Avondale Partners expect intermodal volumes to grow in the low single digits, they predict “rates will continue to decline in 2016 as the dramatic drop in diesel prices and even more dramatic drop in oil takes its toll on U.S. domestic demand.”

When the December intermodal index is compared to November, it posted one of the few month-over-month increases of 2015, moving up 1.5% following a November decline of 3.5% and an October gain of 3.9%

The index is an indicator of market fluctuations in per-mile U.S. domestic intermodal costs that includes all costs associated with the move, such as linehaul, fuel and accessorials.

Data within the indices is derived from invoices paid by freight payment processor Cass Information Systems, which totaled more than $26 billion in 2014.

More Fleet Management

FTR market report for February 2026.
Fleet Managementby News/Media ReleaseApril 10, 2026

FTR Trucking Conditions Index Hits Four-Year High in February

Strong freight rates push TCI to 10.2, but FTR expects fuel-price volatility to skew March results.

Read More →
C.H. Robinson intermodal.

C.H. Robinson Offers Carriers Relief as Diesel Prices Surge

C.H. Robinson is waiving fees on fuel cards and cash advances for April and May, aiming to help carriers offset rising diesel costs tied to geopolitical instability.

Read More →
Fleet Managementby StaffApril 8, 2026

What Trucking Events are Happening in 2026?

Looking for trucking-related conventions, expos, and other events? Heavy Duty Trucking has developed this list of national and larger regional trucking shows and events.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Peter Voorhoeve, president, Volvo Trucks North America.
Fleet Managementby Jack RobertsApril 6, 2026

Volvo’s Quiet Confidence Turns into a Full-Throated Bet on the Future

After years of steady, methodical progress, Peter Voorhoeve says the OEM’s latest lineup isn’t just evolutionary. It’s delivering real, measurable gains for fleets right now.

Read More →
Beyond Trucks Rate Agent TMS.
Fleet Managementby Jack RobertsApril 2, 2026

BeyondTrucks Targets Rate Complexity with New AI RateAgents

BeyondTrucks says its new RateAgents can turn plain-language rate logic into working code, starting with fuel surcharges — a critical but notoriously complex piece of carrier revenue.

Read More →
Magnus Koeck, vice president of strategy, marketing, and brand management, Volvo Trucks North America
Fleet Managementby Jack RobertsApril 2, 2026

Volvo Sees Market ‘Tipping Point’ as New VNL Orders Surge

Soft freight conditions persist, but aging fleets, strong order intake, and new-product momentum signal a more optimistic second half of 2026, Volvo Trucks North America says.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Illustration of a semi-trailer with a sports playbook diagram on chalkboard
Fleet Managementby Deborah LockridgeApril 1, 2026

Cargo Theft’s New Playbook: Strategic Fraud, Double Brokering, and Cybercrime Hit Trucking

Cargo theft is evolving from regional smash-and-grab operations to sophisticated fraud schemes. Strategic theft now accounts for roughly a third of cargo crime, with incidents rising sharply in recent years. Here’s how the schemes work — and what fleets can do to protect themselves.

Read More →
Collage of Top 20 Product award ceremonies
EquipmentMarch 31, 2026

HDT Honors the Best New Products of 2025 at TMC [Photos]

Heavy Duty Trucking's Top 20 Products awards recognize the best new products and technologies. Check out the award presentations at the 2026 Technology & Maintenance Council annual meeting.

Read More →
freightliner whitepaper
SponsoredMarch 31, 2026

Detroit Engines: Trusted Performance, Built for What's Next

The Detroit® Gen 6 engine platform proves that real progress doesn’t require a complete redesign. Built on 20 years of trusted technology, these engines are designed for efficiency, stronger performance, and greater reliability than before. And they do it all while complying with 2027 EPA standards on every mile.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Q&A graphic with Erik Neandross headshot
Fleet Managementby Deborah LockridgeMarch 27, 2026

Q&A: What's Real in Advanced Truck Tech? ACT Expo's Erik Neandross Weighs In

The 2026 ACT Expo is focusing heavily on what organizer Erik Neandross calls trucking's digital frontier. This interview excerpt dives into artificial intelligence, zero-emission vehicles, and tips to make sense of it all.

Read More →