Heavy Duty Trucking Logo
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

Government Slashes Oil, Diesel Price Forecasts for 2009

The U.S. Energy Information Administration significantly cut its predictions for energy prices for 2009, saying the global economic slowdown is now projected to be more severe and longer than in last month's Short-Term Energy Outlook

by Staff
December 9, 2008
Government Slashes Oil, Diesel Price Forecasts for 2009

New crude oil production like that from the Thunder Horse Platform in the Gulf of Mexico will help increase non-OPEC oil supplies in 2009. (Photo courtesy BP)

2 min to read


The U.S. Energy Information Administration significantly cut its predictions for energy prices for 2009, saying the global economic slowdown is now projected to be more severe and longer than in last month's Short-Term Energy Outlook.



In the report released Tuesday, the EIA noted that the monthly average price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil has fallen by more than half between July and November, reflecting the fallout from the rapid decline in world petroleum demand. The annual average WTI price is now projected to be $100 per barrel in 2008 and $51 in 2009.

The average U.S. prices for regular-grade gasoline and diesel fuel, at $1.70 and $2.52 per gallon respectively on Dec. 8, were both more than $2 per gallon below their highs in mid-July. With the assumption of a fragile economy throughout 2009, along with lower projected crude oil prices, annual average retail gasoline and diesel fuel prices in 2009 are projected to be $2.03 and $2.47 per gallon, respectively.

Just a month ago, EIA predicted crude would average between $60 and $65 a barrel for 2009 and diesel would be $2.73 per gallon.

EIA officials expect global oil consumption to fall by 450,000 barrels a day next year. (Total world oil consumption is between 85 million and 86 million barrels a day.) If these projections hold true, it will mark the first time in three decades that world crude consumption declined year-over-year.

On the supply side, however, EIA projects that total non-OPEC supply will grow by 410,000 barrels per day in 2009, with the largest sources of growth coming from Azerbaijan, Brazil and the United States. OPEC crude production is expected to average 30.6 million barrels per day in 2009, about 1.6 million below 2008 levels. OPEC is scheduled to meet on Dec. 17 to evaluate the effectiveness of its earlier decisions to cut production targets by 1.5 million barrels per day and to weigh the need for additional production cuts.

(Read complete report at www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/steo/pub/contents.html)

More Drivers

Man seated in front of computer with inset of insights generated for a truck driver

Netradyne Intelligence Uses New AI Agents to Automate Response to In-Cab Camera Data

The company called the next-generation in-cab camera safety platform "a fundamental shift from systems that report on what happened to systems that actively drive what should happen next."

Read More →
Illustration of hourglass and trucks backed up to a dock
DriversJune 15, 2026

Why Truck Detention Keeps Costing Fleets Time and Money

A 2024 ATRI study found detention affects nearly 40% of truckload stops and costs the industry more than $15 billion annually. Despite the toll on drivers, fleets, and supply chains, the problem remains stubbornly persistent.

Read More →
Artist rendering of dealership with trucks and trailers parked outside
Equipmentby News/Media ReleaseJune 2, 2026

Prime Inc. to Open $7.9M Flagship Used-Truck Dealership

A new driver-focused facility to sell Prime Inc's used trucks and trailers will be the first purpose-built location in the company's history.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Thumbnail for podcast episode
Safety & ComplianceMay 28, 2026

Short Takes: Inside K&B’s Truck Safety Tech

Listen to learn how K&B Transportation uses cellphone-blocking technology, speed management systems, weather geofencing, bridge avoidance tools, and more to improve driver safety.

Read More →
Nussbaum driver pay.
Driversby News/Media ReleaseMay 27, 2026

Nussbaum Expands Driver Compensation with Pay Raises, Profit Sharing

Nussbaum Transportation said its latest compensation package could push first-year driver earnings above $90,000 in key hiring markets.

Read More →
Lance Evans, Director of Safety at K&B Transportation.
Safety & ComplianceMay 13, 2026

Listen: Inside Modern Fleet Safety: AI, Cameras & Speed Control at K&B Transportation

Fleet safety is evolving fast—and technology is at the center of it. Learn how a former commercial vehicle enforcement officer turned director of safety at K&B Transportation is embracing real-world safety technology.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Maverick Transportation Freightliner Cascadia.
Driversby News/Media ReleaseMay 12, 2026

Maverick Announces 2026 Driver Pay Raises

New raises for Maverick Transportation drivers will take effect on May 31, 2026.

Read More →
Alleged Ohio toll evasion truck.
Driversby News/Media ReleaseMay 5, 2026

Illinois Trucker Indicted for Nearly $22,000 in Ohio Turnpike Toll Evasion

Authorities say an Illinois trucker avoided paying tolls for two years, and now faces felony charges, possible prison time, and forfeiture of his Freightliner tractor.

Read More →
Illustration with trojan horse and lock with inside of cargo container in background
Fleet Managementby News/Media ReleaseApril 23, 2026

New Trojan Driver Cargo Theft Scam Bypasses Carrier Vetting Systems

Cargo theft rings plant operatives as drivers inside legitimate, fully vetted carriers, then execute coordinated thefts that look like a traditional straight theft from the outside.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Female truck driver.
Driversby News/Media ReleaseApril 21, 2026

WIM, Trucker Path Name Top 3 Women-Friendly Truck Stops

ATA’s Women In Motion Council and Trucker Path highlight three truck stops that meet all seven safety-focused criteria and rank highest among female drivers.

Read More →