Economic Watch: Home Starts Slow, Overall Optimism Remains
Nationwide housing starts fell 5.8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.14 million units in August, according to newly released data from the Commerce Department on Tuesday, the latest disappointing economic indicator, but there are still feelings overall economic conditions are improving.

Nationwide housing starts fell 5.8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.14 million units in August, according to newly released data from the Commerce Department on Tuesday, the latest disappointing economic indicator, but there are still feelings overall economic conditions are improving.
“After two months of gains, the housing market gave back a bit in August,” says Ed Brady, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders. “However, with builders reporting low inventory levels and rising confidence, we expect more consumers will return to the market in the months ahead.”
Both housing sectors posted production declines in August. Single-family housing starts fell 6% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 722,000 units while multifamily production declined 5.4% to 420,000 units.
“The August reading represents a one-month blip in what has been a long-term, gradual recovery,” says NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz. “On a year-over-year basis, single-family starts are up 9% while multifamily construction continues to level off at a solid level as that sector seeks to find a balance between supply and demand.”
Overall permit issuance, an indicator of future home building, edged 0.4% lower. Single-family permits rose 3.7% in August to a rate of 737,000 while multifamily permits dropped 7.2% to 402,000. Combined single- and multifamily starts increased in three of the four regions in August; the Northeast, Midwest and West; while the South posted an atypical decline.
The pullback in August housing starts, and particularly the weakness in single unit starts, has lowered expectations by the Royal Bank of Canada with it comes to third quarter residential investment, but there there are higher hopes in other economic sectors.
RBC Economist John Nye expects a modest 2% annualized decline rather than flat activity, although that would still represent an improvement on the nearly 8% annualized decline recorded in the prior quarter.
“We also look for some of the other sources of weakness in the second quarter, namely business and inventory investment, to turn around in the current quarter,” he said. “Along with another solid gain in consumer spending, notwithstanding last week’s flat retail sales, we expect U.S. gross domestic product growth will rebound to just over 3% in third quarter following lackluster gains over the first half of the year.” That compares to a second quarter annual rate of GDP expansion of just 1.1%.
Looking further ahead, he expects housing starts will return to an improving trend amid a strong labor market, low rates, continued easing in mortgage financing conditions and some tightness in home inventories, although the August downturn in homebuilding permit issuance presents a near-term downside risk to the outlook.
The report follows separate ones from last week showing declines in both retail sales and factory orders in August.
The Commerce Department said retail sales fell 0.3% from July, the first decline in five months, after a 0.1% revised improvement the month before. The latest performance fell short of many analysts’ expectations.
Also report released by the Federal Reserve showed total output at the rnation’s factories, mines and utilities fell 0.4% in August from the month before. This measure of industrial output also included a 0.4% drop for manufacturing alone, reversing its increase in July.
The news comes as two experts at FTR’s Transportation Conference last week in Indianapolis said they expect a recovery for freight and the overall U.S. economy is in the cards for the fourth quarter of the year, though it’s not expected to be as large as many would like to see.
More Fleet Management

How Innovative Trucking Leaders Turn Change Into an Advantage
As the pace of change accelerates in trucking, the fleets that adapt best have more than the latest technology. They have cultures that embrace improvement.
Read More →
Freight Broker Bonds Just Got Harder to Get. Here's What That Means for Your Fleet.
When it gets harder for a freight broker to prove they are financially sound, the ones who cannot clear that bar get pushed out of the market. And those are exactly the brokers who used to leave motor carriers holding the bag.
Read More →
Long-Awaited Canadian Border Bridge to Open in Detroit
For trucking, the bridge opening should offer immediate improvements in efficiency and reliability, with new customs facilities, expanded inspection capacity, and direct freeway-to-freeway connections.
Read More →
Aurora Rolls Out Next Generation of Driverless Trucks for Commercial Freight
Aurora's latest autonomous trucks it's rolling out with International feature lower-cost hardware designed for a million miles as the company expands commercial driverless freight operations across the U.S. Sun Belt.
Read More →
Freight Tonnage Down, Rates up, as Lower Capacity Powers Trucking Recovery
The recovery from the freight recession continues to be driven by reduction in capacity rather than by increased demand.
Read More →
Think Your Trucking Fleet Isn't Using Much AI? Think Again
Shadow AI — the use of unauthorized artificial intelligence tools at work — is becoming increasingly common, putting sensitive company data at risk. Learn how trucking fleets can protect sensitive data while embracing AI.
Read More →
ArcBest Consolidates Brands, Cuts Workforce
The company will bring three business units under the ArcBest brand, eliminate about 2% of positions, and expects the changes to generate $40 million in annual savings.
Read More →
Trucking Fleets Faced Record Operating Costs During Third Year of Freight Recession
ATRI's annual operational cost report shows carriers trimmed fleets, delayed equipment purchases, and ran older trucks as expenses continued to outpace freight rates.
Read More →
Michelin Adds AI Assistant to MyConnectedFleet Platform
Michelin’s new generative AI tool delivers instant fleet insights, helping managers analyze fuel use, tire maintenance, vehicle status, and operational performance without manually creating reports.
Read More →
LytxOne Platform Now Features AI, Compliance, and Asset Tracking Tools
New enhancements add AI-powered insights, asset tracking, compliance automation, and configurable privacy controls to Lytx's all-in-one fleet management platform.
Read More →
