Heavy Duty Trucking Logo
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

Economic Watch: Home Market Booming, Leading Indicators Mixed

Existing home sales rebounded strongly in September following an August decline, according to the National Association of Realtors. That's not the only good news when it comes to an improving home market, and a separate report shows the overall economy isn't as bad as you may think.

Evan Lockridge
Evan LockridgeFormer Business Contributing Editor
October 22, 2015
Economic Watch: Home Market Booming, Leading Indicators Mixed

 

4 min to read


Existing home sales rebounded strongly in September following an August decline, according to the National Association of Realtors. That's not the only good news when it comes to an improving home market, and a separate report shows the overall economy isn't as bad as you may think.

Existing Home Sales

Total existing home sales, which include single family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co–ops, increased 4.7% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.55 million in September. That compares to a slightly downwardly revised 5.30 million in August, and is 8.8% above a year ago.

Ad Loading...

All four major regions experienced sales gains in September.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says a slight moderation in home prices in some markets and mortgage rates remaining below 4% gave more households the confidence to close on a home last month.

"September home sales bounced back solidly after slowing in August and are now at their second highest pace since February 2007," he said. "While current price growth around 6% is still roughly double the pace of wages, affordability has slightly improved since the spring and is helping to keep demand at a strong and sustained pace."

Ad Loading...

Single–family home sales, the lion’s share of the market, rose 5.3% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.93 million in September from 4.68 million in August, and are now 9.6% above the 4.5 million pace a year ago.

This Thursday report follows one from the U.S. Commerce Department report earlier in the week showing nationwide housing starts increased 6.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.206 million units in September from an upwardly revised August reading -- the second highest rate in eight years.

Multifamily starts rose 18.3% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 466,000 units while single-family production edged up 0.3% to 740,000 units.

The number of new housing permits issued, on the other hand, fell more than expected, down 5% in September. Additionally, the gain in August was reduced from a 3.5% to a 2.7% increase.

The larger-than -expected decline in permits suggests the anticipation of further momentum in the U.S. housing market may fall short of expectations with a slower pace of activity coming down the pipeline, according to Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel Fixed Income.

Ad Loading...

“Multi-family construction remains the name of the game, with the majority of new projects focused on rental, condo, and co-op units, a reflection of both a change in preferences, as well as a declining ability to afford a home with stagnant wages,” she said. “With the expectation of a near-term rate increase, borrowing costs are anticipated to begin a gradual ascent, making financing a home purchase more difficult for many Americans, thus fueling an appetite for smaller purchase or alternative rental options.”

Leading Economic Indicators Better Than They First Seem

A separate report released Thursday could be interpreted as showing some possible trouble ahead for the U.S. economy, but there is nothing to worry about, according to the private research group The Conference Board.

Its Leading Economic Index declined 0.2% in September to 23.3 after no changes were reported for August and July. This index gauges economic conditions three to six months ahead.

“Despite September’s decline, the U.S. LEI still suggests economic expansion will continue, although at a moderate pace,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, director of business cycles and growth research at The Conference Board. “The recent weakness in stock markets, the manufacturing sector and housing permits was offset by gains in financial indicators, and to a lesser extent improvements in consumer expectations and initial claims for unemployment insurance.

According to the group, the U.S. economy is on track for moderate growth of about 2.5% in the coming quarters, despite the mixed global economic landscape, as evidenced by two other readings.

Ad Loading...

The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index, which measures current economic activity, increased 0.2% in September following a 0.1% increase in August, and a 0.3% increase in July.

The Lagging Economic Index, which measures U.S. economic activity of previous months, increased 0.5% in September following a 0.1% increase in August and a 0.4% increase in July.

More Fleet Management

Geotab screen on AI concept background
Fleet ManagementJune 17, 2026

What Geotab's New AI Connector Means for Fleets

Fleets can now ask their usual AI assistants questions about maintenance, safety, fuel use, and vehicle performance, using their live Geotab data, and take action on the answers without leaving their preferred AI tool.

Read More →
Image of computer screen with BidBoardX interface

New C.H. Robinson Tool Opens Door to More Predictable Freight

BidBoardX lets carriers search, bid on, and secure committed freight opportunities through a single digital marketplace.

Read More →
Amazon electric cargo bike on New York City street
Fleet ManagementJune 15, 2026

New York City's Microhub Project is Delivering Results

Trucking, last-mile delivery companies, and environmental advocates like what they are seeing so far with New York's microhub program.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Illustration of hourglass and trucks backed up to a dock
DriversJune 15, 2026

Why Truck Detention Keeps Costing Fleets Time and Money

A 2024 ATRI study found detention affects nearly 40% of truckload stops and costs the industry more than $15 billion annually. Despite the toll on drivers, fleets, and supply chains, the problem remains stubbornly persistent.

Read More →
Panel discussion
Fleet Managementby Deborah LockridgeJune 12, 2026

Time is Running Out to Apply for Exclusive HDT Event

Heavy Duty Trucking Exchange brings fleet managers and suppliers together for the deeper conversations that lead to ideas, partnerships, and solutions. Time is running out to apply for the September event.

Read More →
Empty trailer with worker loading a pallet of cargo
Fleet ManagementJune 10, 2026

Amazon Launches Less-Than-Truckload Freight Offering for All Businesses   

This launch is the latest addition to Amazon Supply Chain Services, a portfolio of supply chain capabilities from Amazon, including freight, distribution, fulfillment, and parcel shipping.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Stacks of intermodal containers at port with truck driving between them

Import Cargo Volume to See Year-Over-Year Gain Again in June, Then Remain Below 2025 Levels Into Fall

After July, the report predicts a weakening in import volume as consumer uncertainty remains high and the impact of increasing inflation takes its toll.

Read More →
Equity Interest Auction
SponsoredJune 8, 2026

AUCTION OF EQUITY INTEREST IN HEAVY HAUL TRUCKING COMPANY!!

Mark your calendar: June 30, 2026 (10:00 a.m. PDT). A 37.5% ownership interest in MagnaTrans, LLC, a California limited liability company doing business as Magna Transportation Group, will be sold in an in-person and online auction to the highest bidder or bidders under Article 9 of the Uniform Commercial Code. The Rancho Cucamonga-based heavy haul and over-dimensional trucking company operates across California, Oregon, and Arizona.

Read More →
Volvo OTA updates.

Volvo Trucks Adds Unattended Over-the-Air Software Update Capabilities

The latest evolution of Volvo’s over-the-air update technology allows software updates to run while trucks are parked, helping fleets keep vehicles current without disrupting operations.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Podcast thumbnail illustration
Fleet ManagementJune 4, 2026

How Waste Connections is Using Data, Telematics, and AI

How do you manage and maintain more than 18,000 connected trucks? Data. Lots of it.

Read More →