Heavy Duty Trucking Logo
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

Economic Watch: Non-Manufacturing, Factory Orders, Shipments Slow

Economic growth in the U.S. non-manufacturing and factory sectors slowed in December, according to two separate reports released Tuesday, possible signs the overall economy lost some steam in the final quarter of last year.

Evan Lockridge
Evan LockridgeFormer Business Contributing Editor
January 6, 2015
3 min to read


Economic growth in the U.S. non-manufacturing and factory sectors slowed in December, according to two separate reports released Tuesday, possible signs the overall economy lost some steam in the final quarter of last year.

A survey of the nation’s purchasing and supply executives by the Institute for Supply Management shows economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in December for the 59th consecutive month, but turned in its lowest reading since June.

Ad Loading...

The Non-Manufacturing Index registered 56.2% in December, 3.1 percentage points lower than the November reading of 59.3%, which was near a post recession high. A reading over 50% mainly indicates expansion while one below 50% usually means contraction.

“Comments from respondents are mostly positive about business conditions and the overall economy for year-end,” said Anthony Nieves, chair of the Institute for Supply Management, non-manufacturing business survey committee.

According to the NMI, the 12 non-manufacturing industries all reported growth in December.

Ad Loading...

“Service activity remained positive through the end of the year, but at a noticeably slower pace. A reoccurring theme, positive with a loss of momentum, the economy appears to be losing steam as we head into the new year with ample inventory stockpiles undermining the need for robust producer activity, and record-low oil prices undermining investment,” said Sterne Agee Chief Economist Lindsey Piegza. “Add in a sluggish housing market, and nonexistent wage pressures amid a disinflationary environment, and it may prove more difficult than expected to reach the Federal Reserve's overly optimistic growth forecast of 3% as far as the eye can see.”

Meantime, a separate report about the health of the nation’s factory sector shows declines for both shipments and new orders in November, following an advance report released just before Christmas.

Total factory shipments, down three of the last four months, decreased 0.6% in November from the month before, following a 0.9% October decrease.

Year-to-date, factory shipments are up only 0.6% since December 2013, according to the manufacturing blog ShopFloor.com.

Shipments of manufactured durable goods, those designed to last at least three years, down three of the last four months, decreased 0.6% in November, revised from the previously published 0.4% decrease. This follows a 0.1% October decrease from the month before. Transportation equipment, down following two consecutive monthly increases, led the November decline, falling 1.3%.

Ad Loading...

New orders for manufactured goods in November, down four consecutive months, fell 0.7%. This follows a 0.7% October drop from September. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.6% in November from the month before.

New factory orders through the first 11 months of 2014 are 3.4% more than the average for all of 2013, according to ShopFloor.com

New orders for manufactured durable goods in November, down three of the last four months, decreased 0.9% from October to $241.6 billion, revised from the previously published 0.7% decrease. This follows a 0.3% October increase from September. Transportation equipment, also down three of the last four months, led the November decline, falling 1.3% from the month before.

The decline in new orders was bigger than a consensus forecast from a panel of economists who expected a 0.5% drop. There was no forecast for factory shipments.

The economic and freight forecasting group FTR Intel described the results as “disappointing,” in its Twitter feed, following release of the factory report.

 

More Fleet Management

Container ship at the Port of Long Beach.

July Imports Poised to Set Container Record

The National Retail Federation projects July container imports will surpass the pandemic-era record as shippers frontload freight ahead of expected August tariff increases.

Read More →
Nine headshots of men and women with Truck Fleet Innovators logo and the word "Finalists"
Fleet Managementby Deborah LockridgeJuly 10, 2026

HDT Announces 2026 Truck Fleet Innovator Finalists

From AI and fleet electrification to safety, operations, and leadership, these HDT Truck Fleet Innovator finalists are changing how trucking gets done.

Read More →
DAT trucking conditions June 2026.

Van Spot Rates Top Contract Rates for First Time Since 2022

There’s more good economic news for the North American trucking industry according to the latest Truckload Volume Index report from DAT.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Carrier Transicold Fleet Refresh program.

Carrier Transicold Extends Refrigerated Trailer Life

Fleet Refresh enables refrigerated fleets to replace aging transport refrigeration units instead of entire trailers, while adding Lynx Fleet telematics and BluEdge service coverage.

Read More →
FTR TCI May 2026.

FTR Says Freight Rates Surged in May

FTR's Trucking Conditions Index surged to a record high in May, the analytics firm reports.

Read More →
Panel discussion

Meet HDT's Truck Fleet Innovators at Heavy Duty Trucking Exchange

Heavy Duty Trucking Exchange brings fleet managers and suppliers together for the deeper conversations that lead to ideas, partnerships, and solutions. Time is running out to apply for HDTX, September 23-25.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
thermo king heavy duty trucking
SponsoredJuly 1, 2026

Enhance Fleet Performance with High-Efficiency Auxiliary Power Units

Drive sustainable cost savings while increasing driver comfort during short- and long-haul logistics operations.

Read More →
Cover of a Dayton Parts guide titled "Strategic Parts Purchasing: A Process Checklist." The cover highlights "5 Steps to Revamp Parts Procurement, Cut Costs and Increase Uptime" and features a warehouse aisle with shelving full of automotive parts, where a worker is organizing heavy-duty suspension components on a pallet.
SponsoredJune 30, 2026

Is Your Parts Procurement Process Reactive or Proactive?

Ready to revamp your parts procurement process? Learn how now with “Strategic Parts Purchasing: A Process Checklist”

Read More →
Fleet Managementby StaffJune 24, 2026

What Trucking Events are Happening in 2026?

Looking for trucking-related conventions, expos, and other events? Heavy Duty Trucking has developed this list of national and larger regional trucking shows and events.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
LIne graph showing spot rates and driver availability over time
Fleet Managementby Deborah LockridgeJune 22, 2026

Truckload Rates Keep Rising as Tight Capacity Fuels Freight Market Recovery

Spot and contract rates continued climbing in May and June, not because freight demand is surging, but because fewer trucks and drivers are available.

Read More →