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April trailer orders are projected to decline as much as 20% compared to the previous month, following seasonal ordering patterns, according to a preliminary report from FTR Intelligence.
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Although the April 1 start to “hard enforcement” of the electronic logging device mandate does not seem to have had a huge effect on trucking capacity (except perhaps in flatbeds), there are a number of other factors that are working to keep capacity tight and rates high, likely at least until late this year, according to FTR.
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Early reports are showing that heavy-duty truck orders likely dropped as much as 12,000 units from March to April, but despite that being the largest single-month decline since 2011, analysts are still calling the market for Class 8 equipment hot.
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FTR’s Trucking Conditions Index for February hit its highest reading ever, reflecting an unmatched positive environment for carriers.
Read More →Early reports from FTR on trailer order activity for March show that while orders declined by 16% from the month before, they remain historically strong.
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Noël Perry, Truckstop.com’s chief economist and former analyst for FTR Transportation Intelligence, has launched a new website called Transport Futures that will serve as a platform to share industry insights.
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Trailer orders are expected to hit 32,000 units in February, a number that, if it holds true, would be a record for that month, according to preliminary reports from FTR.
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FTR has increased its Class 8 and trailer order forecasts as a result of increased demand for equipment caused by what the research firm calls a "capacity crisis."
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Class 8 truck orders have surpassed expectations in February, at 40,200 units for the month, according to preliminary reports from FTR and ACT Research.
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Trailer orders in January will likely breach 39,000 units once the final numbers are tallied, indicating a strong start to 2018.
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