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March trailer orders posted an unexpected monthly jump, but demand still trails historical norms as fleets prioritize power units over trailing equipment.
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Strong freight rates push TCI to 10.2, but FTR expects fuel-price volatility to skew March results.
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Speaking at the TMC Annual Meeting in Nashville, ATA President Chris Spear said trucking faces mounting pressure from rising fuel prices, geopolitical instability, and uncertainty around trade policy.
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FTR said preliminary Class 8 truck orders jumped 47% month over month and 159% year over year as improving freight conditions and clearer regulatory outlook boost fleet confidence.
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FTR says net trailer orders are flat month over month at 24,206 units, with 2026 orders still trailing last year.
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Improving freight rates and tighter capacity push FTR’s Trucking Conditions Index to its highest level in nearly four years.
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Despite a modest freight volume gain to close out 2025, overall tonnage remains subdued, according to ATA.
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A newly released industry white paper from Noregon Systems finds the trucking industry headed toward a structural reset across multiple operational fronts.
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Don’t expect much good economic news for heavy duty trucking in the early part of the new year, according to McKinsey analyst Moritz Rittsieg. But there are signs that things could improve in the second half of 2026.
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A late-year spot rate surge has drawn attention, but analysts say the bigger story is slower freight demand, shrinking capacity, and what that means for trucking heading into 2026.
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