NHTSA: Traffic Deaths Up 7.7%

July 5, 2016

By David Cullen

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Image: Minnesota DOT; photo by Julie Bottolfson
Image: Minnesota DOT; photo by Julie Bottolfson

Preliminary data released by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration on July 1 shows a 7.7% rise in motor-vehicle traffic deaths last year.

NHTSA said an estimated 35,200 people died in 2015, up from the 32,675 reported fatalities in 2014. The agency said that if these projections hold, fatalities will be at their highest level since 2008, when 37,423 fatalities were reported.

Noting that preliminary data reported by the Federal Highway Administration shows that vehicle miles traveled (VMT) in 2015 increased by about 107.2 billion miles, or by about 3.5%, NHTSA said the fatality rate for 2015 increased to 1.12 fatalities per 100 million VMT. That’s up from 1.08 fatalities per 100 million VMT in 2014. 

“The fourth quarter of 2015 represents the fifth consecutive quarter with year-to-year increases in fatalities as well as the fatality rate,” said NHTSA. “The magnitude of the increases has also been rising up to the 11% increase in the third quarter of 2015. Fatalities are projected to have increased by 4.7% during the fourth quarter of 2015.” 

While emphasizing that the data is preliminary and requires additional analysis, the agency said that early estimates based on the data coded thus far into its Fatality Analysis Reporting System for 2015 indicate most of the country incurred “significant increases” in motorcyclist (9%), pedestrian (10%) and pedal-cyclist fatalities (13% increase). 

In addition, fatalities to drivers and passengers also went up (6% and 7%, respectively). Fatalities in crashes involving large trucks also rose, but by a smaller amount, 4%.

NHTSA said it is continuing to gather data on crash fatalities for 2014 and 2015 using information from police crash reports and other sources. 

“It is too soon to speculate on the contributing factors or potential implications of any changes in deaths on our roadways,” the agency stated. “The final data for 2014 as well as the annual file for 2015 will be available later in 2016, which usually results in the revision of fatality totals and the ensuing rates and percentage changes.” 

In response to early estimates showing fatality increases, NHTSA said it convened a series of six regional safety summits with key stakeholders back in February and March. 

As a result of those summits, the agency said it is “working to develop new tools that could improve behavioral challenges, including drunk, drugged, distracted and drowsy driving; speeding; failure to use safety features such as seat belts and child seats; and new initiatives to protect vulnerable road users such as pedestrians and cyclists.” 

In addition, when the final dataset is released later this summer, the Department of Transportation said it will issue a “call to action to safety partners, state and local elected officials, technologists, data scientists and policy experts to join the department in searching for more definitive answers and developing creative, open data-driven solutions to improve safety and reduce deaths caused by motor vehicles.”

DOT also said it is “pressing forward” with new guidance to promote the development of automated safety technologies, aimed to greatly decreasing the number of crashes. That guidance is expected to be issued later this summer.

NHTSA and FHWA are also working on implementing new safety-performance measures, which require states and metropolitan areas to set targets for reducing deaths among motorized and non-motorized road users.

“As the economy has improved and gas prices have fallen, more Americans are driving more miles,” said NHTSA Administrator Mark Rosekind. “But that only explains part of the increase. Ninety-four percent of crashes can be tied back to a human choice or error, so we know we need to focus our efforts on improving human behavior while promoting vehicle technology that not only protects people in crashes, but helps prevent crashes in the first place.”


  1. 1. Stephen [ July 05, 2016 @ 04:29PM ]

    Before IIHS and other vultures try to use this as an excuse to push bad polity, Let me say that comparing 2015 to RECESSION era numbers SKEWS the results. AND IS DISHONEST TO boot!

    2015 was a RECORD driving year. (over 3 Trillion miles).

    The last time we had that was 2007 where 42,259 people died, with a DR per mile of 1.36.

    2015 is LOWER. And the Death rate is 1.12 which is LOWER too!

    When the recession hit, there was not only less driving but:

    less DISCRESTIONARY driving (less trips out of area)

    Less younger people getting drivers license

    and less drunks.

    The drop that occurred after 2007 WAS RECESSION related. (nice chart on this article

    You cannot be comparing a BOOM year to a RECESSION period, it skews the results every time. (you don't get a close to 10,000 drop in deaths between 2007 and 2010 because of some safety program, YOU GET THAT FROM A RECESSION THAT DRIVES down driving!)

    Over all the roads are SAFER than the last boom year. The Per mile rate is still really low!. It was 1.14 in 2012!

  2. 2. Cliff Downing [ July 06, 2016 @ 03:18AM ]

    There has been some correlation to the increased speed limits in some states to increased fatalities on the per mile rate. It is hard not to see that with the corresponding differential speed between vehicles occurring. It is not about trucks either. Some states have jacked the speed limit up to a level that even the speed differential is showing up more a factor in auto/auto accidents. But Stephen's points are well taken.


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