Economic Watch: Manufacturing Shrinks Again; Construction Remains Strong
Activity in the nation’s manufacturing sector has contracted for the second month in a row, and at the fastest rate in six years. Meanwhile, construction spending unexpectedly fell, but remains a bright spot compared to a year ago.


Activity in the nation’s manufacturing sector has contracted for the second month in a row, and at the fastest rate in six years. Meanwhile, construction spending unexpectedly fell, but remains a bright spot compared to a year ago.
The monthly manufacturing survey index of the nation’s purchasing executives by the Institute for Supply Management shows a 0.4 of a percentage point decline in December from the month before. The 48.2% reading is the lowest reading since June 2009.
A reading above 50% indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding, while below 50% shows it is generally contracting.
ISM’s New Orders Index registered 49.2% in December, an increase of 0.3 of a percentage point when compared to the November reading. That indicates a contraction in new orders for the second consecutive month, though not as much as the previous month’s pace.
Only seven of 18 industries reported growth in new orders last month.
The measure of manufacturing production increased 0.6 of a percentage point in December from November, but showed it was still contracting.
The bulk of the overall pullback was due to the measure of manufacturing employment falling by 3.2 percentage points.
“While unexpected acceleration in the pace of decline was disappointing, an uptick, albeit modest, in each of the new orders and production components was encouraging and hinted at potentially brighter prospects on the horizon for the struggling manufacturing sector,” said Laura Cooper, economist at RBC Economics.
“Lingering external headwinds are likely to limit the manufacturing rebound in the near term; however, we expect ongoing strength in the domestic economy to keep overall fourth-quarter 2015 gross domestic product (GDP) growth close to the 2.0% rate recorded in the third quarter of 2015.”
Such a performance in manufacturing during December could delay future interest rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve, after its Federal Open Market Committee pushed them slightly higher last month for the first time in many years, according to Stifel Fixed Income Chief Economist Lindsey Piegza.
“Let's just say this is not the story line monetary policymakers were hoping for as we embark now on a rising rate environment,” she said. “Going forward, the domestic economy desperately needs to stir some underlying momentum to meet and withstand the committee’s intended path of rising rates. After all, the Fed based liftoff – and will continue to base subsequent rate hikes – on expectations rather than current conditions, which leaves the potential for a significant disconnect between what the U.S. economy can withstand and what the Fed intends to deliver.”
Construction Spending
Meantime, a separate report from the U.S. Commerce Department shows total construction spending in the country during November fell 0.4%, the biggest downturn in activity since June 2014.
Additionally, October's construction spending was revised downward from the previous 1.0% reported growth to a smaller 0.3% monthly gain, and from a 0.6% gain in September to just a 0.2% improvement in September. However, year-over-year, construction spending increased 10.5% in November.
A 0.8% decline in non-residential construction spending in November accounted for the headline deterioration, while residential spending advanced 0.2% to match the pace recorded in the previous month.
According to Reuters, the government revised construction data from January 2005 through October 2015 because of a "processing error in the tabulation of data," which showed activity was not as strong as originally reported for last year. It reported this could lead some economists to lower their fourth-quarter gross domestic product estimates.
More Fleet Management

How Innovative Trucking Leaders Turn Change Into an Advantage
As the pace of change accelerates in trucking, the fleets that adapt best have more than the latest technology. They have cultures that embrace improvement.
Read More →
Freight Broker Bonds Just Got Harder to Get. Here's What That Means for Your Fleet.
When it gets harder for a freight broker to prove they are financially sound, the ones who cannot clear that bar get pushed out of the market. And those are exactly the brokers who used to leave motor carriers holding the bag.
Read More →
Long-Awaited Canadian Border Bridge to Open in Detroit
For trucking, the bridge opening should offer immediate improvements in efficiency and reliability, with new customs facilities, expanded inspection capacity, and direct freeway-to-freeway connections.
Read More →
Aurora Rolls Out Next Generation of Driverless Trucks for Commercial Freight
Aurora's latest autonomous trucks it's rolling out with International feature lower-cost hardware designed for a million miles as the company expands commercial driverless freight operations across the U.S. Sun Belt.
Read More →
Freight Tonnage Down, Rates up, as Lower Capacity Powers Trucking Recovery
The recovery from the freight recession continues to be driven by reduction in capacity rather than by increased demand.
Read More →
Think Your Trucking Fleet Isn't Using Much AI? Think Again
Shadow AI — the use of unauthorized artificial intelligence tools at work — is becoming increasingly common, putting sensitive company data at risk. Learn how trucking fleets can protect sensitive data while embracing AI.
Read More →
ArcBest Consolidates Brands, Cuts Workforce
The company will bring three business units under the ArcBest brand, eliminate about 2% of positions, and expects the changes to generate $40 million in annual savings.
Read More →
Trucking Fleets Faced Record Operating Costs During Third Year of Freight Recession
ATRI's annual operational cost report shows carriers trimmed fleets, delayed equipment purchases, and ran older trucks as expenses continued to outpace freight rates.
Read More →
Michelin Adds AI Assistant to MyConnectedFleet Platform
Michelin’s new generative AI tool delivers instant fleet insights, helping managers analyze fuel use, tire maintenance, vehicle status, and operational performance without manually creating reports.
Read More →
LytxOne Platform Now Features AI, Compliance, and Asset Tracking Tools
New enhancements add AI-powered insights, asset tracking, compliance automation, and configurable privacy controls to Lytx's all-in-one fleet management platform.
Read More →
