Heavy Duty Trucking Logo
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

Economic Watch: Non-Manufacturing, Factory Orders, Shipments Slow

Economic growth in the U.S. non-manufacturing and factory sectors slowed in December, according to two separate reports released Tuesday, possible signs the overall economy lost some steam in the final quarter of last year.

Evan Lockridge
Evan LockridgeFormer Business Contributing Editor
January 6, 2015
3 min to read


Economic growth in the U.S. non-manufacturing and factory sectors slowed in December, according to two separate reports released Tuesday, possible signs the overall economy lost some steam in the final quarter of last year.

Ad Loading...

A survey of the nation’s purchasing and supply executives by the Institute for Supply Management shows economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in December for the 59th consecutive month, but turned in its lowest reading since June.

Ad Loading...

The Non-Manufacturing Index registered 56.2% in December, 3.1 percentage points lower than the November reading of 59.3%, which was near a post recession high. A reading over 50% mainly indicates expansion while one below 50% usually means contraction.

“Comments from respondents are mostly positive about business conditions and the overall economy for year-end,” said Anthony Nieves, chair of the Institute for Supply Management, non-manufacturing business survey committee.

According to the NMI, the 12 non-manufacturing industries all reported growth in December.

“Service activity remained positive through the end of the year, but at a noticeably slower pace. A reoccurring theme, positive with a loss of momentum, the economy appears to be losing steam as we head into the new year with ample inventory stockpiles undermining the need for robust producer activity, and record-low oil prices undermining investment,” said Sterne Agee Chief Economist Lindsey Piegza. “Add in a sluggish housing market, and nonexistent wage pressures amid a disinflationary environment, and it may prove more difficult than expected to reach the Federal Reserve's overly optimistic growth forecast of 3% as far as the eye can see.”

Meantime, a separate report about the health of the nation’s factory sector shows declines for both shipments and new orders in November, following an advance report released just before Christmas.

Ad Loading...

Total factory shipments, down three of the last four months, decreased 0.6% in November from the month before, following a 0.9% October decrease.

Year-to-date, factory shipments are up only 0.6% since December 2013, according to the manufacturing blog ShopFloor.com.

Shipments of manufactured durable goods, those designed to last at least three years, down three of the last four months, decreased 0.6% in November, revised from the previously published 0.4% decrease. This follows a 0.1% October decrease from the month before. Transportation equipment, down following two consecutive monthly increases, led the November decline, falling 1.3%.

New orders for manufactured goods in November, down four consecutive months, fell 0.7%. This follows a 0.7% October drop from September. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.6% in November from the month before.

New factory orders through the first 11 months of 2014 are 3.4% more than the average for all of 2013, according to ShopFloor.com

Ad Loading...

New orders for manufactured durable goods in November, down three of the last four months, decreased 0.9% from October to $241.6 billion, revised from the previously published 0.7% decrease. This follows a 0.3% October increase from September. Transportation equipment, also down three of the last four months, led the November decline, falling 1.3% from the month before.

The decline in new orders was bigger than a consensus forecast from a panel of economists who expected a 0.5% drop. There was no forecast for factory shipments.

The economic and freight forecasting group FTR Intel described the results as “disappointing,” in its Twitter feed, following release of the factory report.

 

More Fleet Management

FTR market report for February 2026.
Fleet Managementby News/Media ReleaseApril 10, 2026

FTR Trucking Conditions Index Hits Four-Year High in February

Strong freight rates push TCI to 10.2, but FTR expects fuel-price volatility to skew March results.

Read More →
C.H. Robinson intermodal.

C.H. Robinson Offers Carriers Relief as Diesel Prices Surge

C.H. Robinson is waiving fees on fuel cards and cash advances for April and May, aiming to help carriers offset rising diesel costs tied to geopolitical instability.

Read More →
Fleet Managementby StaffApril 8, 2026

What Trucking Events are Happening in 2026?

Looking for trucking-related conventions, expos, and other events? Heavy Duty Trucking has developed this list of national and larger regional trucking shows and events.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Peter Voorhoeve, president, Volvo Trucks North America.
Fleet Managementby Jack RobertsApril 6, 2026

Volvo’s Quiet Confidence Turns into a Full-Throated Bet on the Future

After years of steady, methodical progress, Peter Voorhoeve says the OEM’s latest lineup isn’t just evolutionary. It’s delivering real, measurable gains for fleets right now.

Read More →
Beyond Trucks Rate Agent TMS.
Fleet Managementby Jack RobertsApril 2, 2026

BeyondTrucks Targets Rate Complexity with New AI RateAgents

BeyondTrucks says its new RateAgents can turn plain-language rate logic into working code, starting with fuel surcharges — a critical but notoriously complex piece of carrier revenue.

Read More →
Magnus Koeck, vice president of strategy, marketing, and brand management, Volvo Trucks North America
Fleet Managementby Jack RobertsApril 2, 2026

Volvo Sees Market ‘Tipping Point’ as New VNL Orders Surge

Soft freight conditions persist, but aging fleets, strong order intake, and new-product momentum signal a more optimistic second half of 2026, Volvo Trucks North America says.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Illustration of a semi-trailer with a sports playbook diagram on chalkboard
Fleet Managementby Deborah LockridgeApril 1, 2026

Cargo Theft’s New Playbook: Strategic Fraud, Double Brokering, and Cybercrime Hit Trucking

Cargo theft is evolving from regional smash-and-grab operations to sophisticated fraud schemes. Strategic theft now accounts for roughly a third of cargo crime, with incidents rising sharply in recent years. Here’s how the schemes work — and what fleets can do to protect themselves.

Read More →
Collage of Top 20 Product award ceremonies
EquipmentMarch 31, 2026

HDT Honors the Best New Products of 2025 at TMC [Photos]

Heavy Duty Trucking's Top 20 Products awards recognize the best new products and technologies. Check out the award presentations at the 2026 Technology & Maintenance Council annual meeting.

Read More →
freightliner whitepaper
SponsoredMarch 31, 2026

Detroit Engines: Trusted Performance, Built for What's Next

The Detroit® Gen 6 engine platform proves that real progress doesn’t require a complete redesign. Built on 20 years of trusted technology, these engines are designed for efficiency, stronger performance, and greater reliability than before. And they do it all while complying with 2027 EPA standards on every mile.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Q&A graphic with Erik Neandross headshot
Fleet Managementby Deborah LockridgeMarch 27, 2026

Q&A: What's Real in Advanced Truck Tech? ACT Expo's Erik Neandross Weighs In

The 2026 ACT Expo is focusing heavily on what organizer Erik Neandross calls trucking's digital frontier. This interview excerpt dives into artificial intelligence, zero-emission vehicles, and tips to make sense of it all.

Read More →