Heavy Duty Trucking Logo
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

Economic Watch: Durables Surge, Consumer Confidence Best Since 2007

UPDATED -- Shipments and new orders for manufactured durable goods continue moving higher, with both hitting record levels -- but the numbers may not be as bright as they seem.

Evan Lockridge
Evan LockridgeFormer Business Contributing Editor
August 26, 2014
Economic Watch: Durables Surge, Consumer Confidence Best Since 2007

Aircraft bumped up orders and shipments of durable goods. 

3 min to read


Aircraft bumped up orders and shipments of durable goods. 

 UPDATED -- Shipments and new orders for manufactured durable goods continue moving higher, with both hitting record levels, according to the U.S. Commerce Department – but the numbers may not be as bright as they seem, due to a high number of orders in one sector.

Shipments of these items designed to last three years or more increased 3.3% in July from the month before, the fifth gain out of the last six months. It follows a 1.2% increase in June. The numbers were led by a 7.9% gain in transportation equipment. Excluding transportation, shipments increased 1.4%.

Ad Loading...

New orders also posted the fifth increase out of the past six months in July, gaining a whopping 22.6% from the month before. That follows a 2.7% June increase. Like shipments, the orders number also was driven higher by transportation equipment, which skyrocketed 74.2% above June’s level due to a high number of aircraft orders.

Excluding transportation, new orders in July fell 0.8%. Excluding defense, new orders moved 24.9% higher.

Through the first seven months of the year, shipments of manufactured durable goods are 4.8% higher than during the first seven months of 2013, while new orders are 8.2% higher.

Ad Loading...

The headline strength masking underlying weakness, according to Sterne Agee Chief Economist Lindsey Piegza.

“The whopping headline increase will no doubt grab the market and media's attention but the underlying details of this morning's orders report tell a very different story. Aside from a surge in aircraft orders accounting entirely for the headline gain, business investment and all other sub-categories of orders showed weakness at the start of the third quarter, suggesting waning momentum in investment,” she said. “While aircraft and transportation orders in general tend to be volatile month-to-month, the underlying trend in business investment is much less choppy and appears to be simply holding steady, certainly not indicative of the upward trajectory expected by many who forecasted 3% to 4% growth in the economy as far as the eye can see.

Piegza said business are clearly still hesitant to invest in new equipment, structures and full-time employees.

Meantime, a separate report shows The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index, which had increased in July, improved further in August, hitting its highest level since October 2007.

The index now stands at 92.4, up from 90.3 in July. The Present Situation Index increased to 94.6 from 87.9, while the Expectations Index edged down to 90.9 from 91.9 in July.

Ad Loading...

“Consumer confidence increased for the fourth consecutive month as improving business conditions and robust job growth helped boost consumers’ spirits,” said Lynn Franco, director of economic indicators at The Conference Board. “Looking ahead, consumers were marginally less optimistic about the short-term outlook compared to July, primarily due to concerns about their earnings. Overall, however, they remain quite positive about the short-term outlooks for the economy and labor market.”

The Conference Board found consumers’ appraisal of current conditions continued to improve through August. Those saying business conditions are “good” edged up to 23.9% from 23.3%, while those claiming business conditions are “bad” declined to 21.5% from 22.8%. Consumers’ assessment of the job market was also more positive but they were slightly less optimistic in August about the short-term outlook.

Update adds consumer confidence report and Piegza comments.

More Fleet Management

Truck on divided interstate highway driving toward sunrise
Fleet Management•October 27, 2026

Your Trucks Are Busy. That Doesn’t Mean They’re Winning.

High utilization doesn’t always mean strong margins. Looking beyond the current load can help fleets make better dispatch decisions and get more value from each truck’s time.

Read More →
ATA economist Bob Costello speaking beside a graph showing truckload operating costs rising as freight revenue per mile declined after 2022.
Fleet Management•by Deborah Lockridge•October 22, 2026

Why This Trucking Recovery Is Different

Freight demand remains sluggish, but rising costs and tougher enforcement have taken enough capacity out of the market to change the outlook for motor carriers.

Read More →
PS Coach tablet interface showing a driver’s coaching inbox, safety event video and coaching advice for a harsh-braking event.
Fleet Management•by News/Media Release•October 21, 2026

Platform Science Adds Dispatch and Safety Tools

Four additions to PS Fleet help fleets monitor loads, manage driver coaching, share truck locations and adjust video system settings.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Screen capture showing PrePass Intelligence data on tolls
Fleet Management•by News/Media Release•October 21, 2026

PrePass Intelligence Mines Fleet Bypass, Toll and Safety Data

PrePass Intelligence helps fleets measure bypass savings, flag potential toll overcharges, and spot suspicious transactions by combining data from separate systems.

Read More →
Computer screen showing examples of what fleets could ask Motive AI Agents to do
Fleet Management•by Staff•October 20, 2026

Motive Adds AI Agents for Fleet Operations

New tools automate follow-up on fleet data, from maintenance work orders to driver alerts, with two-way voice conversations planned for later this year.

Read More →
Graphic art with a heavy-duty tractor trailer and a work truck with the words "trivia lunch"
Fleet Management•by Lauren Fletcher•October 19, 2026

Can You Beat Our Trucking Trivia Challenge?

Test your truck knowledge with 19 trivia questions from Heavy Duty Trucking Exchange. Can you keep up with the fleet pros?

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Four horizontal and two vertical video screens show different aspects of BeyondTruck's new compatibility engine
Fleet Management•by Deborah Lockridge•October 19, 2026

BeyondTrucks Adds Rules Checks to Dispatch

New Compatibility Engine checks driver qualifications, equipment requirements and fleet policies before loads are dispatched.

Read More →
Gloved hand fueling a truck beside a graphic listing ATRI’s top three trucking concerns for 2026: fuel prices, lawsuit abuse reform and CSA.
Fleet Management•by Deborah Lockridge•October 19, 2026

Diesel Prices Hijack Trucking’s Worry List

ATRI’s annual survey finds cautious optimism about freight, but diesel costs, litigation, and insurance continue to squeeze fleets. Drivers have different priorities on several issues.

Read More →
Illustration showing ladders against a blue background with Heavy Duty Trucking Emerging Leaders logo and the words "2026 nominations now open"
Fleet Management•by Staff•October 16, 2026

Nomination Deadline Extended for HDT Emerging Leaders

Just a few more days to nominate accomplished trucking fleet professionals under 40 who are making an impact and helping lead the industry forward for the HDT Emerging Leaders award. Deadline extended to October 20!

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Headshot of Mark Colson in front of a truck grille next to an American Trucking Associations logo
Fleet Management•by Deborah Lockridge•October 15, 2026

What Will ATA’s New Leader Bring to Trucking's Table?

Incoming President and CEO Mark Colson’s record in Alabama offers clues about his priorities and approach following Chris Spear’s abrupt departure as the head of the American Trucking Associations.

Read More →