What, Me Worry About Higher Interest Rates?
What does last month's interest rate hike by the Fed mean to trucking? Evan Lockridge explores the question in his monthly HDT Econ Watch column.

It was bound to happen again sooner or later, and it finally did last month – but this time there are more assurances it will happen again.
The U.S. Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 0.75% to 1%. This was only the third time since it raised it for the first time in nearly a decade in December 2015. While people are always concerned about the central bank hiking interest rates, there doesn’t mean there is cause for alarm. In fact, it’s actually good news this happened. But first let’s look at the biggest downside for trucking.
“Obviously financing costs will rise with the rise in interest rates, including for equipment and loans for expansions,” said Bob Costello, chief economist at the American Trucking Associations.
On the upside, the news means not only that the economy appears to be in good shape, but also could actually help economic growth.
While getting too crazy with interest rate hikes could be harmful to the economy, the Fed is emphasizing that it’s aiming for a gradual increase.
Before the first of these most recent three interest rates hikes occurred, Sandeep Kar, transportation expert for market research and consultancy firm Frost & Sullivan, told me such increases, especially coming back from historically low numbers, can “help the economy get on track for a more sustainable and robust recovery, which in the long term will be a good thing for the industry.”
Yes, interest rates on what consumers finance will move higher, from credit cards to mortgages. However, consumers have shown they are a resilient bunch. Retail sales in February, the most recent figures available, rose 5.7% from the same time a year ago, and housing has been one of the brightest spots in this economic recovery.
According to Costello, there are also positives for trucking and the economy that can come from interest rates being raised slightly from historically low levels.
“It will give savers, including retired people, more money and thus more purchasing power. Second, it will increase margins on bank lending, and thus lenders will be more likely boost credit for businesses and people. This in turn will spur economic activity,” he said.
Let’s think about part of that for a moment: retired people. It’s no secret we have an aging population with the graying of the baby-boomer generation. And while millennials are arguably the largest target audience for sellers of products and services, there are many indications they aren’t spending money in the traditional ways of their parents.
Lower interest rates have substantially hurt what some retirees have been able to spend, because many rely on interest income to supplement their retirement funds. While low interest rates and low inflation helped the housing industry recover after the bottom fell out, the latter also led to retirees getting a pittance of an increase in Social Security benefits for several years, again leading to less spending.
The one concern is how high will interest rates go. In announcing this latest hike the Fed indicated two more are likely this year, with more to come in 2018 and 2019. But as I mentioned earlier, it said it’s taking a gradual approach to get to its target of 3%. And that’s amid an economy that is expected to grow, slowly and steadily, around 2% GDP growth a year. Trucking will continue to benefit from that growth, even with slightly higher interest rates.
Evan Lockridge covers trucking business and economic news for HDT, both in his monthly column in HDT's Hotline section and on Truckinginfo.com. A freelance writer, he has been covering the trucking industry in print, online, and on the air since 1991.
More Fleet Management

What Geotab's New AI Connector Means for Fleets
Fleets can now ask their usual AI assistants questions about maintenance, safety, fuel use, and vehicle performance, using their live Geotab data, and take action on the answers without leaving their preferred AI tool.
Read More →
New C.H. Robinson Tool Opens Door to More Predictable Freight
BidBoardX lets carriers search, bid on, and secure committed freight opportunities through a single digital marketplace.
Read More →
New York City's Microhub Project is Delivering Results
Trucking, last-mile delivery companies, and environmental advocates like what they are seeing so far with New York's microhub program.
Read More →
Why Truck Detention Keeps Costing Fleets Time and Money
A 2024 ATRI study found detention affects nearly 40% of truckload stops and costs the industry more than $15 billion annually. Despite the toll on drivers, fleets, and supply chains, the problem remains stubbornly persistent.
Read More →
Time is Running Out to Apply for Exclusive HDT Event
Heavy Duty Trucking Exchange brings fleet managers and suppliers together for the deeper conversations that lead to ideas, partnerships, and solutions. Time is running out to apply for the September event.
Read More →
Amazon Launches Less-Than-Truckload Freight Offering for All Businesses
This launch is the latest addition to Amazon Supply Chain Services, a portfolio of supply chain capabilities from Amazon, including freight, distribution, fulfillment, and parcel shipping.
Read More →
Import Cargo Volume to See Year-Over-Year Gain Again in June, Then Remain Below 2025 Levels Into Fall
After July, the report predicts a weakening in import volume as consumer uncertainty remains high and the impact of increasing inflation takes its toll.
Read More →
AUCTION OF EQUITY INTEREST IN HEAVY HAUL TRUCKING COMPANY!!
Mark your calendar: June 30, 2026 (10:00 a.m. PDT). A 37.5% ownership interest in MagnaTrans, LLC, a California limited liability company doing business as Magna Transportation Group, will be sold in an in-person and online auction to the highest bidder or bidders under Article 9 of the Uniform Commercial Code. The Rancho Cucamonga-based heavy haul and over-dimensional trucking company operates across California, Oregon, and Arizona.
Read More →
Volvo Trucks Adds Unattended Over-the-Air Software Update Capabilities
The latest evolution of Volvo’s over-the-air update technology allows software updates to run while trucks are parked, helping fleets keep vehicles current without disrupting operations.
Read More →How Waste Connections is Using Data, Telematics, and AI
How do you manage and maintain more than 18,000 connected trucks? Data. Lots of it.
Read More →

